St Mirren vs Kilmarnock Match Analysis & Prediction

St Mirren

11/05/2024 5:00 pm

Kilmarnock

St Mirren welcome Kilmarnock at the SMISA Stadium on Saturday evening knowing that only a win will do if they want to retain any hope of securing fourth position in the Scottish Premiership standings.

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Meanwhile, the visitors only need to avoid defeat to realistically ensure that they will retain hold of that spot for the remainder of the campaign.

Realistically, St Mirren have already missed out on a top-four position. For that to be achieved, they need to win their remaining three games to have any chance of that feat, as well as hope that Kilmarnock fail to prevail from another match.

With a trip to Celtic on the final day, it would take something remarkable to upset the odds, but a Europa Conference League qualifying spot is still available if they can defend fifth.

A five-game winless run made that appear considerably in doubt ahead of a trip to sixth-placed Dundee last time out, but Stephen Robinson’s side responded with a potentially-pivotal 3-1 victory.

St Mirren now sit five points ahead of their last opponents with three games left to play, and with home matches against Kilmarnock and Hearts next on their schedule.

Aside from the so-called big three, Kilmarnock have been the best of the rest this season, and deserve that tag having lost just three league matches since December 6.

Unusually, all three defeats have come at the hands of Rangers, the most recent occuring last weekend as Kilmarnock went down 4-1 at Ibrox.

Although Derek McInnes’ side initially took the lead, the 22nd-minute sending off of Joe Wright ultimately cost Kilmarnock, who could not hold until halftime.

That brough an end to a six-game unbeaten run in the Premiership, the streak having helped Kilmarnock establish a six-point advantage over fifth position.

Consequently, a place in the second qualifying round of the Europa League is well within their grasp, but with Celtic still on their schedule, McInnes will be keen to get the job done on Saturday.

St Mirren vs. Kilmarnock Head to head

In the previous 55 meetings between these two teams, St Mirren have claimed 16 victories while Kilmarnock have won 25, and they have drawn in 14. Kilmarnock have scored 66 goals and conceded 56 in the process.

  • 02/01/2023
    Kilmarnock
    0
    St Mirren
    0
    Premiership
  • 22/04/2023
    St Mirren
    0
    Kilmarnock
    2
    Premiership
  • 30/09/2023
    Kilmarnock
    1
    St Mirren
    1
    Premiership
  • 27/12/2023
    St Mirren
    0
    Kilmarnock
    1
    Premiership
  • 16/03/2024
    Kilmarnock
    5
    St Mirren
    2
    Premiership

St Mirren Team News

Barring any injury issues, Robinson is unlikely to make any changes to his St Mirren XI after they ended their poor run of form.

Keanue Baccus helped tighten things up in the second half, but the Australian midfielder may have to make do with a spot among the replacements.

St Mirren's Last 5 Matches

  • 30/03/2024
    Motherwell
    1
    St Mirren
    1
    Premiership
  • 06/04/2024
    St Mirren
    1
    Hearts
    2
    Premiership
  • 13/04/2024
    Celtic
    3
    St Mirren
    0
    Premiership
  • 28/04/2024
    St Mirren
    1
    Rangers
    2
    Premiership
  • 04/05/2024
    Dundee
    1
    St Mirren
    3
    Premiership

Kilmarnock Team News

If James Balagizi is passed fit after a knee injury, he is likely to only feature on the substitutes’ bench, while Wright is suspended due to his red card and Brad Lyons is ruled out with a hamstring injury.

Robbie Deas should get the nod at centre-back, while McInnes has revealed that Greg Stewart is back in contention after a hernia operation.

Kilmarnock's Last 5 Matches

  • 30/03/2024
    Hearts
    1
    Kilmarnock
    1
    Premiership
  • 06/04/2024
    Kilmarnock
    1
    Ross County
    0
    Premiership
  • 13/04/2024
    St Johnstone
    0
    Kilmarnock
    2
    Premiership
  • 27/04/2024
    Kilmarnock
    0
    Hearts
    0
    Premiership
  • 05/05/2024
    Rangers
    4
    Kilmarnock
    1
    Premiership

St Mirren vs. Kilmarnock: Odds and Predictions

Main Prediction

Double Chance: Kilmarnock or X

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