Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid Match Analysis and Prediction

Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid Match Analysis & Prediction

Borussia Dortmund

16/04/2024 10:00 pm

Atletico Madrid

by Vincent

2 weeks ago 0 17

DISCLAIMER: All odds are quoted at time the prediction went live. Check the sports book for updated odds

Borussia Dortmund and Atletico Madrid will battle it out for a spot in the semi-finals of the Champions League on Tuesday night, with the two sides meeting in the second leg of their quarter-final tie.

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Atletico have a narrow lead to protect, having claimed a 2-1 victory in the first leg at Wanda Metropolitano, but it is delicately poised ahead of what should be a fascinating contest at Signal Iduna Park.

Dortmund were comfortably second-best in the first half of their quarter-final with Atletico, and goals from Rodrigo De Paul and Samuel Lino sent the Spanish side two goals ahead. At the interval, it was difficult to see a route back, but BVB were much improved in the second half.

Sebastien Haller came up with the visitors’ goal in the 81st minute of the game at Wanda Matropolitano, and it is now delicately poised, with Dortmund trailing in the tie but now having home advantage.

Edin Terzic’s side will enter this contest off the back of a 2-1 victory over Borussia Monchengladbach in the Bundesliga, with the result leaving them fifth in the table, level on points with fourth-placed RB Leipzig.

BVB navigated their way past PSV Eindhoven in the last-16 stage of this season’s competition, securing a 3-1 aggregate victory, and they also impressed in the group stage, finishing ahead of Paris Saint-Germain to top Group F, with AC Milan dropping into the Europa League.

Dortmund have not progressed past the quarter-finals of the Champions League since famously reaching the final in 2012-13, eventually losing 2-1 to Bundesliga rivals Bayern Munich, and they were eliminated from last season’s tournament in the round of 16 by Chelsea.

Atletico will feel that they should have been out of sight in the first leg considering their dominance in the opening 45 minutes, and it remains to be seen whether they will be made to pay in the second leg.

The Red and Whites have responded impressively to their 3-0 defeat to Barcelona before the international break, winning their last two in the league against Villarreal and Girona either side of the victory over Dortmund.

Atletico beat Girona 3-1 in La Liga on Saturday, and they are fourth in the table, five points ahead of fifth-placed Athletic Bilbao, with the team in charge of their own destiny when it comes to the top four.

Diego Simeone’s side impressively overcame Inter Milan in the last-16 stage of this season’s competition, winning a penalty shootout after the two sides were level at 2-2 after the second leg.

Meanwhile, the capital giants went unbeaten in the group stage, picking up 14 points from their six matches to top a section which involved Lazio, Feyenoord and Celtic.

Atletico failed to make it out of the group stage of last season’s Champions League, while they have not been past the final eight since featuring against Real Madrid in the semi-finals back in 2016-17.

Borussia Dortmund vs. Atletico Madrid Head to head

These two teams have only previously met on three occasions, with Dortmund winning once and Atletico two times.

24/10/2018

Borussia Dortmund

4

Atletico Madrid

0

Champions League
06/11/2018

Atletico Madrid

2

Borussia Dortmund

0

Champions League
10/04/2024

Atletico Madrid

2

Borussia Dortmund

1

Champions League
16/04/2024

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A
16/04/2024

Borussia Dortmund

N/A

Atletico Madrid

N/A

Champions League

Borussia Dortmund Team News

Dortmund were without Jadon Sancho against Borussia M’gladbach on Saturday due to illness, but the on-loan Manchester United attacker is expected to return to the side on Tuesday night.

Fit-again Donyell Malen could come into the XI for this game, while Julian Brandt, who was a halftime substitute against Atletico in the first leg, is also pushing to be included in midfield.

Borussia Dortmund's Last 5 Matches

17/03/2024

Borussia Dortmund

3

Eintracht Frankfurt

1

Bundesliga
30/03/2024

Bayern Munich

0

Borussia Dortmund

2

Bundesliga
06/04/2024

Borussia Dortmund

0

Stuttgart

1

Bundesliga
10/04/2024

Atletico Madrid

2

Borussia Dortmund

1

Champions League
13/04/2024

Borussia M'gladbach

1

Borussia Dortmund

2

Bundesliga

Atletico Madrid Team News

Atletico’s Memphis Depay is absent with a muscular problem, while Thomas Lemar and Marcos Paulo are also unavailable for selection, but Mario Hermoso was back against Girona on Saturday.

Jose Gimenez, Cesar Azpilicueta, Marcos Llorente, Axel Witsel, Lino and Alvaro Morata are set to return to the side after being rested from the start in the league last time out.