Monaco vs PSV Eindhoven Match Analysis and Prediction

Monaco will play host to PSV Eindhoven at the Stade Luois II for the first leg of their third round of 2022-23 Champions League qualifying on Tuesday.

The hosts managed to secure third place in Ligue 1 last season, while their Dutch conterparts enter the tie having come out on top in a thrilling Johan Cruijff Schaal contest against Ajax.

With Monaco having entered the new year cut adrift of the European spots, the Monegasques board did not hesitate to fire Niko Kovac, whose departure was even critisised by royalty in the form of Prince Albert II.

The appointment of Philippe Clement did not initially look like it was going to pay dividends, but Monaco won nine and drew one of their final 10 Ligue 1 Matches last season to make a late surge for the Champions League places.

Clement brought in Breel Embolo and Takumi Minamino on permanent deals, but his side lost their final two pre-season matches to Porto and Southampton after previously going unbeaten in five exhibition games.

The era of Ruud van Nistelrooy at PSV Eindhoven began in strong and entertaining style against Ajax in the latest edition of the Johan Cruijff Schaal, as the KNVB-Beker holders came out on top through a 5-3 scoreline on Saturday.

While Cody Gakpo bagged his customary goal alongside as effort from Xavi Simons, it was Guus Til who took centre stage with an impressive hat-trick against the Eredivisie champions, who had Calvin Bassey sent off 17 minutes into his competitive debut.

As is the case with Tuesday’s hosts, PSV Eindhoven’s most recent appearance in the Champions League group stage came in the 2018-19 edition, and they experienced a taste of all three tiers of European football last season before losing to Leicester City in the Europa Conference League quarter-finals.

Monaco vs PSV Eindhoven head to head

The two teams have previously met on eight occasions across all competitions, where Monaco have claimed three victories while PSV have won two, and they have drawn in three. Monaco have scored eight goals and conceded seven. In their last meeting, they played out a goalless draw in the Europa League.

Monaco 0-2 PSV 09/03/22

PSV 1-3 Monaco 17/07/15

Monaco 0-0 PSV 16/07/17

PSV 1-2 Monaco 21/10/21

Monaco 0-0 PSV 04/11/21

Monaco latest home form

Monaco have recently been on a good run of form at home, having been unbeaten in their nine most recent matches. They played out a 2-2 draw with Austria Vienna in their last home game in a friendly. In their last five matches, they have scored 10 goals and conceded five.

Monaco 2-0 Angers 01/05/22

Monaco 4-2 Brest 14/05/22

Monaco 1-0 Cercle Brugge 25/06/22

Monaco 1-1 St. Gallen 29/06/22

Monaco 2-2 Austria Vienna 06/07/22

Monaco latest away form

Monaco have recently failed to keep a good run of form on the road, having won just one of their five most recent matches. They lost 3-1 to Southampton in their last away game in a friendly. In their last five matches, they have scored eight goals and conceded nine.

Lens 2-2 Monaco 21/05/22

Portimonense 0-2 Monaco 09/07/22

Inter Milan 2-2 Monaco 16/07/22

Porto 2-1 Monaco 23/07/22

Southampton 3-1 Monaco 27/07/22

PSV Eindhoven latest home form

PSV Eindhoven have recently been on a relatively good run of form at home, having lost just one of their eight most recent matches. They defeated Real Betis 2-1 in their last home game in a friendly. In their last five matches, they have scored 16 goals and conceded five.

PSV 6-0 BW Lohne 25/06/22

PSV 2-2 Cercle Brugge 02/07/22

PSV 1-2 Villarreal 16/07/22

PSV 5-0 Eindhoven 19/07/22

PSV 2-1 Real Betis 23/07/22

PSV Eindhoven latest away form

PSV Eindhoven have recently been on a relatively good run of form on the road, having lost just one of their five most recent matches. They defeated Ajax 5-3 in their last away game in the Super Cup. In their last five matches, they have scored 11 goals and conceded 11.

Cambuur 1-2 PSV 23/04/22

Feyenoord 2-2 PSV 08/05/22

PEC Zwolle 1-2 PSV 15/05/22

Arminia Bielefeld 4-0 PSV 09/07/22

Ajax 3-5 PSV 30/07/22

Monaco news

Monaco’s Kevin Volland and Aleksandr Golovin will both miss the first Ligue 1 game of the new season due to suspension, but they are fine to feature here.

New signing Takumi Minamino may have to feature on the bench if Volland and Wissam Ben Yedder pair up, but Benoit Badiashile remains sidelined.

PSV Eindhoven news

PSV have a few players in the treatment room, with Mauro Junior, Noni Madueke, Carlos Vinicius and Oliver Boscagli all missing the weekend’s match against Ajax.

Madueke remains sidelined for a few months with an ankle injury, while fellow attacker Yorbe Vertessen is dealing with appendicitis, with Luuk de Jong captaining.

Prediction and Odds

The two sides have found it easy scoring this summer, but with PSV Eindhoven weary from their Super Cup exploits, Monaco could take full advantage.

It is difficult to imagine the hosts shutting out their opponents completely after a couple of poor defensive showings in pre-season, with a draw the likely outcome.

Odds: 2.15 2.05 2.24

Probable outcomes

Monaco 1-1 PSV 

Monaco 2-2 PSV

Monaco 3-3 PSV

Monaco 1-0 PSV

Monaco 2-1 PSV

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