AC Milan vs Dinamo Zagreb Match Analysis and Prediction

After causing an upsetting shock in the Champions League’s opening week, Dinamo Zagreb will be looking for another major scalp on Wednesday, as they take on AC Milan as San Siro.

Following Dinamo’s victory over Chelsea and Milan’s draw in Salzburg, Group E apparantly remains wide open, with the hosts having secured victory with 10 men at the weekend while their visitors arrive in Italy off the back of six straight wins.

After a disappointing group-stage exit upon their long-awaited Champions League return last year, Milan began their latest quest for an eighth European title last week as Italian champions.

Stefano Pioli’s side are now eager to translate last year’s domestic success onto the continental stage. However, they found themselves held to a 1-1 draw by RB Salzburg after a close-fought encounter in Austria.

However, in Serie A, the Rossoneri have enjoyed back-to-back victories over the past fortnight, as they followed derby-day victory against Inter with a comeback away to Sampdoria on Saturday, playing for most of the second half with only 10 men at Stadio Luigi Ferraris.

This encounter sees Dinamo fresh off the back of a famous victory on Group E’s opening night, as they defeated 2021 European champions Chelsea as Stadion Maksimir last week, the fifth of six victories in a row for the Craotian side.

Having last featured in the group stage back in 2019, progression to the quarter-finals of the 2021-22 Europa League clearly roused the appetite for subsequent wins over West Ham and Sevilla in last season’s competition.

Since securing their fourth consecutive Croatian championship last season, Dinamo have progressed past Shkupi, Ludogorets Razgrad and Bodo/Glimt in Champions League qualifying, and after their 1-0 victory over HNK Gorica on Saturday, Damir Krznar’s side are sitting at the top of the HNL table once again.

AC Milan vs Dinamo Zagreb head to head

These two teams have previously met on just two occasions in the Champions League in recent history of the competition, where AC Milan claimed victory in both, scoring six goals and conceding just once.

AC Milan 3-1 Dinamo Zagreb 09/09/00

Dinamo Zagreb 0-3 AC Milan 23/08/00

AC Milan latest home form

AC Milan have recently been on a good run of form at home, having been unbeaten in their nine most recent matches. They managed to defeat Inter Milan 3-2 in their last home game in the league. In their last five matches, they have scores 12 goals and conceded just four.

AC Milan 1-0 Fiorentina 01/05/22

AC Milan 2-0 Atalanta 15/05/22

AC Milan 4-2 Udinese 13/08/22

 AC Milan 2-0 Bologna 27/08/22

AC Milan 3-2 Inter Milan 03/09/22

AC Milan latest away form

AC Milan have recently been on a good run of form on the road, having been unbeaten in their seven most recent matches. They managed to defeat Sampdoria 2-1 in their last away game in the league. In their last five matches, they have scored 10 goals and conceded four.

Vicenza 1-6 AC Milan 06/08/22

Atalanta 1-1 AC Milan 21/08/22

Sassuolo 0-0 AC Milan 30/08/22

Salzburg 1-1 AC Milan 06/09/22

Sampdoria 1-2 AC Milan 10/09/22

Dinamo Zagreb latest home form

Dinamo Zagreb have recently been on a good run of form at home, having won each of their seven most recent matches. They managed to defeat Chelsea 1-0 in their last home game in the Champions League. In their last five matches, they have scored 17 goals and conceded five.

Dinamo Zagreb 4-1 Hajduk Split 13/08/22

Dinamo Zagreb 5-2 Osijek 20/08/22

Dinamo Zagreb (E)4-1 Bodo/Glimt 24/08/22

Dinamo Zagreb 3-1 Rijeka 02/09/22

Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 Chelsea 06/09/22

Dinamo Zagreb latest away form

Dinamo Zagreb have recently been on a relatively good run of form on the road, having lost just one of their nine most recent matches. They defeated HNK Gorica 1-0 in their last away game in the league. In their last five matches, they have scored six goals and conceded four.

Ludogorets 1-2 Dinamo Zagreb 02/08/22

Varazdin 1-1 Dinamo Zagreb 05/08/22

Bodo/Glimt 1-0 Dinamo Zagreb 16/08/22

Sibenik 1-2 Dinamo Zagreb 28/08/22

HNK Gorica 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb 10/09/22

AC Milan news

Pioli will have long-term absentees Alessandro Florenzi and Zlatan Ibrahimovic unavailable, with Ante Rebic, Divock Origi and Rade Krunic also expected to miss out.

Tommaso Pobega and Simon Kjaer are expected to make way for Fikayo Tomori and Ismael Bennacer, while Sergino Dest could make his first start for Milan.

Dinamo Zagreb news

Krznar should name a starting XI similar to that which surprised Chelsea last week, with both Mislav Orsic and Bruno Petkovic expected to start in attack.

Experienced duo of Kevin Theophile-Catherine and Josip Drmic may be relegated to the bench, as Krznar shifts to a probable three-man central defence for this contest.

Prediction and Odds

AC Milan enter the contest with a record of seven competitive matches without defeat, and will feel confident of extending that run on their home turf.

However, victory will not come easily, as Dinamo possess several players with European experience and could score at least once to push the hosts close.

Odds: 2.20 2.05 2.30

Probable outcomes

AC Milan 1-0 Dinamo Zagreb

AC Milan 2-0 Dinamo Zagreb

AC Milan 2-1 Dinamo Zagreb

AC Milan 3-1 Dinamo Zagreb

AC Milan 3-2 Dinamo Zagreb

 

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