Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 23:30 Sports Illustrated Stadium Ref: M. De Oliveira FT

New York Red Bulls

10 in league · 39 pts

L L W L L

0 - 2

Full Time

Toronto FC

12 in league · 39 pts

L W L W D

Market-implied probabilities

Home 57.5% Draw 20.4% Away 22.1%

Last 5

New York Red Bulls

1 Nov

Nashville SC 3-2 New York Red Bulls

28 Oct

New England Revolution 3-2 New York Red Bulls

24 Oct

New York Red Bulls 2-0 Inter Miami

17 Oct

New York Red Bulls 0-2 Toronto FC

14 Oct

DC United 2-1 New York Red Bulls

Last 5

Toronto FC

1 Nov

Atlanta United FC 3-1 Toronto FC

28 Oct

Toronto FC 2-1 DC United

24 Oct

Columbus Crew 4-2 Toronto FC

17 Oct

New York Red Bulls 0-2 Toronto FC

14 Oct

Toronto FC 3-3 Orlando City SC

Market movement

Odds History

OutcomeOpeningLatestChange

HomeMarathonbet 1.68 1.68 —

DrawMarathonbet 4.35 4.35 —

AwayMarathonbet 4.00 4.00 —

Opening = earliest retained price · Latest = most recent · Same bookmaker per row

OutcomeOpeningLatestChange

Over 1.5Marathonbet 1.05 1.05 —

Under 1.5Marathonbet 6.60 6.60 —

Over 2.5Marathonbet 1.28 1.28 —

Under 2.5Marathonbet 3.05 3.05 —

Over 3.5Marathonbet 1.85 1.85 —

Under 3.5Marathonbet 1.89 1.89 —

Opening = earliest retained price · Latest = most recent · Same bookmaker per row

Bookmaker prices

Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
Bet365	1.67	4.50	4.33
BetVictor	1.67	4.40	4.10
Marathonbet	1.68	4.35	4.00
Pinnacle	1.68	4.74	4.38
William Hill	1.67	4.20	3.90

Best listed price highlighted in green. Prices are recorded snapshots, not live quotes.

Market Opportunity

Best Value Bet

Goals Over/Under · Under

Under 1.5

Bet365 · Market comparison

Decimal odds8.00

Implied probability12.5%

Estimated edge+3.26%

Market-implied probability

Under 1.5 12.9%Other outcomes 87.1%

Estimated EV based on bookmaker consensus, not a model prediction. Prices may have changed.

Analysis

Match Prediction

Match prediction will appear here.

Markets

Match Odds

1 · Home 1.68 Marathonbet 59.52% implied

X · Draw 4.74 Pinnacle 21.10% implied

2 · Away 4.38 Pinnacle 22.83% implied

Markets

Popular Betting Markets

Double Chance

Draw/Away: 2.10 William Hill

Home/Away: 1.20 William Hill

Home/Draw: 1.22 Marathonbet

Both Teams to Score

No: 3.00 William Hill

Yes: 1.40 Bet365

Total Goals Over/Under

1.5

Over: 1.10 Pinnacle

Under: 8.00 Bet365

2.5

Over: 1.35 Pinnacle

Under: 3.40 Bet365

3.5

Over: 1.89 Pinnacle

Under: 1.99 Pinnacle

First Half Winner

Away: 4.32 Pinnacle

Draw: 2.86 Pinnacle

Home: 2.18 Pinnacle

Market Intelligence

Market Disagreement

5 bookmakers

Match Winner · Highest recorded price for each outcome

Home 0.6% price spread

Best recorded odds

1.68 Marathonbet

Lowest: 1.67

Draw 12.9% price spread

Best recorded odds

4.74 Pinnacle

Lowest: 4.20

Away 12.3% price spread

Best recorded odds

4.38 Pinnacle

Lowest: 3.90

Price variation does not establish betting value. Odds are snapshots, not live quotes. Observed 25 Oct 2026, 04:56 GMT+0000.

History

Head to Head

No recent head-to-head matches available.

Standings

Eastern Conference Table

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Last 5
9 –	Orlando City SC	33	12	7	14	-16	43	L D D W D
10 –	New York Red Bulls	33	11	6	16	-17	39	L L W L L
11 –	New York City FC	33	9	12	12	3	39	D W D D L
12 –	Toronto FC	33	9	12	12	-12	39	L W L W D
13 –	Atlanta United FC	33	9	6	18	-14	33	W L L L W

Promotion play-offs

Match

More Statistics

Additional match statistics will appear here.