Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 22:30 Arena da Baixada Ref: Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva, Brazil FT

Atletico Paranaense

5 in league · 54 pts

L L D L W

0 - 2

Full Time

Palmeiras

2 in league · 70 pts

D W W W W

Market-implied probabilities

Home 32.9% Draw 27.8% Away 39.2%

Last 5

Atletico Paranaense

4 Nov

Atletico Paranaense 1-3 Vasco DA Gama

30 Oct

Gremio 2-0 Atletico Paranaense

24 Oct

Vitoria 1-1 Atletico Paranaense

17 Oct

Atletico Paranaense 0-2 Palmeiras

12 Oct

Chapecoense-sc 1-4 Atletico Paranaense

Last 5

Palmeiras

28 Oct

Santos 0-0 Palmeiras

24 Oct

Palmeiras 2-0 RB Bragantino

17 Oct

Atletico Paranaense 0-2 Palmeiras

11 Oct

Palmeiras 4-1 Corinthians

9 Oct

Palmeiras 1-0 Bahia

Market movement

Odds History

OutcomeOpeningLatestChange

HomePinnacle 2.94 2.94 —

DrawPinnacle 3.48 3.48 —

AwayPinnacle 2.47 2.47 —

Opening = earliest retained price · Latest = most recent · Same bookmaker per row

OutcomeOpeningLatestChange

Over 1.5Pinnacle 1.29 1.29 —

Under 1.5Pinnacle 3.76 3.76 —

Over 2.5Pinnacle 1.94 1.94 —

Under 2.5Pinnacle 1.94 1.94 —

Over 3.5Pinnacle 3.29 3.29 —

Under 3.5Pinnacle 1.36 1.36 —

Opening = earliest retained price · Latest = most recent · Same bookmaker per row

Bookmaker prices

Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
1xBet	2.90	3.46	2.45
Bet365	2.88	3.40	2.45
BetVictor	2.88	3.40	2.38
Marathonbet	2.81	3.35	2.38
Pinnacle	2.94	3.48	2.47
William Hill	2.80	3.20	2.38

Best listed price highlighted in green. Prices are recorded snapshots, not live quotes.

Market Opportunity

Best Value Bet

Goals Over/Under · Over

Over 4.5

BetVictor · Market comparison

Decimal odds7.00

Implied probability14.3%

Estimated edge+5.21%

Market-implied probability

Over 4.5 15.0%Other outcomes 85.0%

Estimated EV based on bookmaker consensus, not a model prediction. Prices may have changed.

Analysis

Match Prediction

Match prediction will appear here.

Markets

Match Odds

1 · Home 2.94 Pinnacle 34.01% implied

X · Draw 3.48 Pinnacle 28.74% implied

2 · Away 2.47 Pinnacle 40.49% implied

Markets

Popular Betting Markets

Double Chance

Draw/Away: 1.42 1xBet

Home/Away: 1.32 1xBet

Home/Draw: 1.56 1xBet

Both Teams to Score

No: 2.05 William Hill

Yes: 1.71 Marathonbet

Total Goals Over/Under

1.5

Over: 1.29 Pinnacle

Under: 3.76 Pinnacle

2.5

Over: 1.96 1xBet

Under: 1.94 Pinnacle

3.5

Over: 3.30 BetVictor

Under: 1.36 Pinnacle

First Half Winner

Away: 3.14 Pinnacle

Draw: 2.26 Pinnacle

Home: 3.61 Pinnacle

Market Intelligence

Market Disagreement

6 bookmakers

Match Winner · Highest recorded price for each outcome

Home 5.0% price spread

Best recorded odds

2.94 Pinnacle

Lowest: 2.80

Draw 8.8% price spread

Best recorded odds

3.48 Pinnacle

Lowest: 3.20

Away 3.8% price spread

Best recorded odds

2.47 Pinnacle

Lowest: 2.38

Price variation does not establish betting value. Odds are snapshots, not live quotes. Observed 25 Oct 2026, 05:56 GMT+0000.

History

Head to Head

No recent head-to-head matches available.

Standings

Serie A Table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Last 5
1 –	Flamengo	34	23	7	4	42	76	W W W W W
2 –	Palmeiras	33	20	10	3	34	70	D W W W W
3 –	Cruzeiro	33	17	6	10	6	57	W W W L W
4 –	Fluminense	33	15	9	9	10	54	W L L L W
5 –	Atletico Paranaense	34	15	9	10	8	54	L L D L W
6 –	Bahia	33	14	11	8	6	53	W D L W L

Continental qualification

Match

More Statistics

Additional match statistics will appear here.