Sun, 1 Nov 2026 · 15:30 Estádio Municipal de Arouca Ref: Luis Miguel Branco Godinho FT

Arouca

5 in league · 20 pts
W W W D L
1 - 0
Full Time

Nacional

15 in league · 7 pts
L W L L L
Market-implied probabilities
Home 58.9% Draw 23.7% Away 17.4%
Last 5

Arouca

Last 5

Nacional

Market movement

Odds History

OutcomeOpeningLatestChange
HomeBetfair 1.57 1.57 —
DrawBetfair 3.90 3.90 —
AwayBetfair 5.50 5.50 —

Opening = earliest retained price · Latest = most recent · Same bookmaker per row

Bookmaker prices

Odds Comparison

Bookmaker Home Draw Away
1xBet 1.62 4.22 5.68
Bet365 1.57 4.10 5.50
Betano 1.60 4.10 5.60
Betfair 1.57 3.90 5.50
BetVictor 1.53 3.80 5.50
Dafabet 1.59 4.20 5.60
Marathonbet 1.55 4.05 5.45
Pinnacle 1.60 4.24 5.78
SBO 1.71 3.46 4.29
William Hill 1.60 3.80 5.00

Best listed price highlighted in green. Prices are recorded snapshots, not live quotes.

Market Opportunity

Best Value Bet

Positive EV
What is Positive EV? This is an estimated positive expected value using other bookmakers' margin-adjusted market prices as a reference, not an independent prediction model. It does not guarantee a profitable bet.
Goals Over/Under · Over

Over 5.5

Bet365 · Market comparison
Decimal odds13.00
Implied probability7.7%
Estimated edge+22.61%
Market-implied probability
Over 5.5 9.4%Other outcomes 90.6%

Estimated EV based on bookmaker consensus, not a model prediction. Prices may have changed.

Analysis

Match Prediction

Match prediction will appear here.
Markets

Match Odds

1 · Home 1.71 SBO 58.48% implied
X · Draw 4.24 Pinnacle 23.58% implied
2 · Away 5.78 Pinnacle 17.30% implied
Market Intelligence

Market Disagreement

10 bookmakers

Match Winner · Highest recorded price for each outcome

Home 11.8% price spread
Best recorded odds
1.71 SBO
Lowest: 1.53
Draw 22.5% price spread
Best recorded odds
4.24 Pinnacle
Lowest: 3.46
Away 34.7% price spread
Best recorded odds
5.78 Pinnacle
Lowest: 4.29

Price variation does not establish betting value. Odds are snapshots, not live quotes. Observed 6 Nov 2026, 00:57 GMT+0000.

History

Head to Head

No recent head-to-head matches available.
Standings

Primeira Liga Table

#TeamPWDLGDPtsLast 5
4 – Santa Clara 10 6 3 1 9 21 W L W D W
5 – Arouca 10 6 2 2 6 20 W W W D L
6 – Academico Viseu 10 6 2 2 3 20 W W W W W
···
14 – Maritimo 10 2 2 6 -12 8 L L L D L
15 – Nacional 10 2 1 7 -9 7 L W L L L
16 – Rio Ave 10 2 1 7 -14 7 L L W L D
Europa League Conference League Relegation
Match

More Statistics

Additional match statistics will appear here.