Tue, 3 Nov 2026 · 19:45 Vicarage Road Ref: James Bell FT

Watford

20 in league · 14 pts
W L L W L
1 - 0
Full Time

Lincoln

19 in league · 15 pts
L L W D L
Market-implied probabilities
Home 34.5% Draw 28.5% Away 36.9%
Last 5

Watford

3 Nov
Watford 1-0 Lincoln
W
31 Oct
Norwich 3-2 Watford
L
24 Oct
Wolves 1-0 Watford
L
17 Oct
Watford 2-0 Charlton
W
13 Oct
Cardiff 5-1 Watford
L
Last 5

Lincoln

3 Nov
Watford 1-0 Lincoln
L
31 Oct
Lincoln 1-3 Birmingham
L
24 Oct
Lincoln 4-1 Burnley
W
17 Oct
Millwall 2-2 Lincoln
D
14 Oct
Lincoln 0-6 West Ham
L
Market movement

Odds History

OutcomeOpeningLatestChange
HomeBetano 2.67 2.77 ↑ +0.10
DrawDafabet 3.40 3.35 ↓ −0.05
AwayDafabet 2.65 2.60 ↓ −0.05

Opening = earliest retained price · Latest = most recent · Same bookmaker per row

Bookmaker prices

Odds Comparison

Bookmaker Home Draw Away
1xBet 2.60 3.28 2.60
Bet365 2.75 3.20 2.55
Betano 2.77 3.35 2.57
Betfair 2.75 3.30 2.55
BetVictor 2.63 3.30 2.55
Dafabet 2.75 3.35 2.60
Marathonbet 2.60 3.28 2.60
Pinnacle 2.81 3.40 2.63
SBO 2.63 3.11 2.45
William Hill 2.70 3.20 2.50

Best listed price highlighted in green. Prices are recorded snapshots, not live quotes.

Market Opportunity

Best Value Bet

Positive EV
What is Positive EV? This is an estimated positive expected value using other bookmakers' margin-adjusted market prices as a reference, not an independent prediction model. It does not guarantee a profitable bet.
Goals Over/Under First Half · Over

Over 3.5

1xBet · Market comparison
Decimal odds23.00
Implied probability4.3%
Estimated edge+26.43%
Market-implied probability
Over 3.5 5.5%Other outcomes 94.5%

Estimated EV based on bookmaker consensus, not a model prediction. Prices may have changed.

Analysis

Match Prediction

Match prediction will appear here.
Markets

Match Odds

1 · Home 2.81 Pinnacle 35.59% implied
X · Draw 3.40 Pinnacle 29.41% implied
2 · Away 2.63 Pinnacle 38.02% implied
Best available stored odds across bookmakers Odds may have changed since collection
Markets

Popular Betting Markets

Double Chance

Draw/Away: 1.47 Betano
Home/Away: 1.36 Bet365
Home/Draw: 1.53 Betano

Both Teams to Score

No: 2.10 Betfair
Yes: 1.75 Betano

Total Goals Over/Under

1.5
Over: 1.33 Betano
Under: 3.53 Pinnacle
2.5
Over: 2.05 Pinnacle
Under: 1.85 Pinnacle
3.5
Over: 3.56 Pinnacle
Under: 1.32 Pinnacle

First Half Winner

Away: 3.29 Pinnacle
Draw: 2.25 Pinnacle
Home: 3.44 Pinnacle
Best available stored odds across bookmakersOdds may have changed since collection
Market Intelligence

Market Disagreement

10 bookmakers

Match Winner · Highest recorded price for each outcome

Home 8.1% price spread
Best recorded odds
2.81 Pinnacle
Lowest: 2.60
Draw 9.3% price spread
Best recorded odds
3.40 Pinnacle
Lowest: 3.11
Away 7.3% price spread
Best recorded odds
2.63 Pinnacle
Lowest: 2.45

Price variation does not establish betting value. Odds are snapshots, not live quotes. Observed 6 Nov 2026, 00:56 GMT+0000.

History

Head to Head

No recent head-to-head matches available.
Standings

Championship Table

#TeamPWDLGDPtsLast 5
18 – Cardiff 14 3 6 5 -1 15 D L W D W
19 – Lincoln 14 4 3 7 -10 15 L L W D L
20 – Watford 14 4 2 8 -10 14 W L L W L
21 – Charlton 14 3 5 6 -11 14 L L L L D
Match

More Statistics

Additional match statistics will appear here.
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