Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 Pride Park Stadium Ref: Oliver Langford, England FT

Derby

23 in league · 7 pts

L L D L L

0 - 1

Full Time

Stoke City

4 in league · 26 pts

W W D W L

Market-implied probabilities

Home 32.2% Draw 27.7% Away 40.2%

Last 5

Derby

3 Nov

Derby 0-4 Norwich

31 Oct

Millwall 4-1 Derby

24 Oct

Sheffield Utd 1-1 Derby

17 Oct

Derby 0-1 Stoke City

14 Oct

QPR 4-1 Derby

Last 5

Stoke City

3 Nov

Blackburn 1-2 Stoke City

31 Oct

Stoke City 2-0 Preston

24 Oct

Stoke City 0-0 Bristol City

17 Oct

Derby 0-1 Stoke City

13 Oct

Stoke City 2-3 Middlesbrough

Market movement

Odds History

OutcomeOpeningLatestChange

Home1xBet 2.81 2.81 —

Draw1xBet 3.36 3.36 —

Away1xBet 2.40 2.40 —

Opening = earliest retained price · Latest = most recent · Same bookmaker per row

OutcomeOpeningLatestChange

Over 1.51xBet 1.25 1.25 —

Under 1.51xBet 3.28 3.28 —

Over 2.51xBet 1.93 1.93 —

Under 2.51xBet 1.81 1.81 —

Over 3.51xBet 3.28 3.28 —

Under 3.51xBet 1.25 1.25 —

Opening = earliest retained price · Latest = most recent · Same bookmaker per row

Bookmaker prices

Odds Comparison

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away
1xBet	2.81	3.36	2.40
Bet365	2.90	3.40	2.35
BetVictor	2.90	3.30	2.38
Marathonbet	2.80	3.36	2.38
Pinnacle	3.01	3.50	2.41
William Hill	2.90	3.30	2.30

Best listed price highlighted in green. Prices are recorded snapshots, not live quotes.

Market Opportunity

Best Value Bet

Goals Over/Under First Half · Over

Over 2.5

BetVictor · Market comparison

Decimal odds8.00

Implied probability12.5%

Estimated edge+10.73%

Market-implied probability

Over 2.5 13.8%Other outcomes 86.2%

Estimated EV based on bookmaker consensus, not a model prediction. Prices may have changed.

Analysis

Match Prediction

Match prediction will appear here.

Markets

Match Odds

1 · Home 3.01 Pinnacle 33.22% implied

X · Draw 3.50 Pinnacle 28.57% implied

2 · Away 2.41 Pinnacle 41.49% implied

Markets

Popular Betting Markets

Double Chance

Draw/Away: 1.40 Marathonbet

Home/Away: 1.33 Bet365

Home/Draw: 1.57 Bet365

Both Teams to Score

No: 2.01 1xBet

Yes: 1.75 William Hill

Total Goals Over/Under

1.5

Over: 1.32 BetVictor

Under: 3.58 Pinnacle

2.5

Over: 2.03 Pinnacle

Under: 1.86 Pinnacle

3.5

Over: 3.51 Pinnacle

Under: 1.32 Pinnacle

First Half Winner

Away: 3.11 Pinnacle

Draw: 2.26 Pinnacle

Home: 3.63 Pinnacle

Market Intelligence

Market Disagreement

6 bookmakers

Match Winner · Highest recorded price for each outcome

Home 7.5% price spread

Best recorded odds

3.01 Pinnacle

Lowest: 2.80

Draw 6.1% price spread

Best recorded odds

3.50 Pinnacle

Lowest: 3.30

Away 4.8% price spread

Best recorded odds

2.41 Pinnacle

Lowest: 2.30

Price variation does not establish betting value. Odds are snapshots, not live quotes. Observed 25 Oct 2026, 03:56 GMT+0000.

History

Head to Head

No recent head-to-head matches available.

Standings

Championship Table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Last 5
3 –	Birmingham	14	7	5	2	13	26	W W L W W
4 –	Stoke City	14	8	2	4	5	26	W W D W L
5 –	Swansea	14	8	2	4	5	26	L W L L W
···
22 –	Burnley	14	1	7	6	-8	10	D D L L D
23 –	Derby	14	1	4	9	-18	7	L L D L L
24 –	Preston	14	1	2	11	-18	5	L L D L L

Promotion play-offs Relegation

Match

More Statistics

Additional match statistics will appear here.