Sat, 24 Oct 2026 · 11:30 Villa Park Ref: Peter Bankes, England FT

Aston Villa

10 in league · 12 pts
D W W D W
2 - 1
Full Time

Manchester City

2 in league · 21 pts
L L W W W
Market-implied probabilities
Home 19.1% Draw 22.0% Away 58.9%
Last 5

Aston Villa

Last 5

Manchester City

Market movement

Odds History

OutcomeOpeningLatestChange
HomePinnacle 5.18 5.18 —
DrawBetfair 4.50 4.50 —
AwayBetfair 1.60 1.60 —

Opening = earliest retained price · Latest = most recent · Same bookmaker per row

Bookmaker prices

Odds Comparison

Bookmaker Home Draw Away
1xBet 5.07 4.51 1.68
Bet365 4.75 4.50 1.62
Betano 4.90 4.50 1.67
Betfair 5.00 4.50 1.60
BetVictor 4.80 4.33 1.57
Dafabet 4.80 4.40 1.65
Marathonbet 5.00 4.45 1.65
Pinnacle 5.18 4.49 1.62
SBO 4.09 3.72 1.63
William Hill 4.75 4.20 1.62

Best listed price highlighted in green. Prices are recorded snapshots, not live quotes.

Market Opportunity

Best Value Bet

Positive EV
What is Positive EV? This is an estimated positive expected value using other bookmakers' margin-adjusted market prices as a reference, not an independent prediction model. It does not guarantee a profitable bet.
Total - Away · Over

Over 4.5

Bet365 · Market comparison
Decimal odds13.00
Implied probability7.7%
Estimated edge+31.82%
Market-implied probability
Over 4.5 10.1%Other outcomes 89.9%

Estimated EV based on bookmaker consensus, not a model prediction. Prices may have changed.

Analysis

Match Prediction

Match prediction will appear here.
Markets

Match Odds

1 · Home 5.18 Pinnacle 19.31% implied
X · Draw 4.51 1xBet 22.17% implied
2 · Away 1.68 1xBet 59.52% implied
Market Intelligence

Market Disagreement

9 bookmakers

Match Winner · Highest recorded price for each outcome

Home 9.1% price spread
Best recorded odds
5.18 Pinnacle
Lowest: 4.75
Draw 7.4% price spread
Best recorded odds
4.51 1xBet
Lowest: 4.20
Away 7.0% price spread
Best recorded odds
1.68 1xBet
Lowest: 1.57

Price variation does not establish betting value. Odds are snapshots, not live quotes. Observed 1 Nov 2026, 05:54 GMT+0000.

History

Head to Head

No recent head-to-head matches available.
Standings

Premier League Table

#TeamPWDLGDPtsLast 5
1 – Arsenal 9 8 0 1 9 24 W W W W L
2 – Manchester City 9 7 0 2 10 21 L L W W W
3 – Brighton 9 6 1 2 17 19 W L W W W
···
9 – Tottenham 9 3 3 3 0 12 W W W D L
10 – Aston Villa 9 3 3 3 -3 12 D W W D W
11 – Hull City 9 2 5 2 1 11 D D L D L
Champions League
Match

More Statistics

Additional match statistics will appear here.