Paris Saint-Germain vs Borussia Dortmund Match Analysis and Prediction

PSG vs Borussia Dortmund Match Analysis & Prediction

PSG

07/05/2024 10:00 pm

Borussia Dortmund

by Vincent

8 months ago 0 197

DISCLAIMER: All odds are quoted at time the prediction went live. Check the sports book for updated odds

Made to pay for missed chances in the first leg of their Champions League semi-final, Paris Saint-Germain seek to right their German wrongs in Tuesday night’s return match with Borussia Dortmund at Parc des Princes.

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PSG are 90 minutes away from familiar European heartbreak due to last week’s 1-0 reverse at the Signal Iduna Park.

As PSG failed to make a multitude of openings count in the first leg – erstwhile Dortmund attacker Ousmane Dembele in paerticualr endured a horror show against his former club – BVB talisman Niclas Fullkrug offered Luis Emrique’s side a lesson in attacking ruthlessness.

With 36 minutes on the clock, Fullkrug made a brilliant run to meet Nico Schlotterbeck’s ball over the top, took a delightful touch and fired a ferocious low effort past Gianluigi Donnarumma, thereby scoring in the 2023-24 Champions League – his European Cup debut season – for the third time.

BVB also registered their fifth clean sheet of this season’s Champions League due to the profligacy of PSG, who were at least blessed with a weekend off from Ligue 1 matters in preparation for Tuesday’s second leg, although they have already run away with the top-flight yet again.

Close yet no cigar has always been the theme for PSG in the Champions League, but Les Parisiens have already reversed a first-leg deficit against Barcelona in the quarter-finals and could now become the first team in the competition history to reach the final after losing their opening quarter and semi-final ties.

A seven-game run without a clean sheet across all competitions will not do PSG any favours in that regard – nor will winning just three of their last eight games at the Parc des Princes – but not since the opening weekend of the 2023-24 Ligue 1 campaign have Enrique’s side failed to score on home turf.

Dortmund proudly boast the lable of defensive masters in this season’s Champions League, with a fifth shutout in last week’s narrow victory representing the highest tally of any team in the competition.

Putting one foot in the Wembley final was the perfect response to a Bundesliga slump, which had seen Edin Terzic’s side draw with champions Bayer Leverkusen and suffer a 4-1 defeat to RB Leipzig, but the visit of Augsburg to the Signal Iduna Park on Sunday was a foregone conclusion inside just 30 minutes.

One day after announcing his exit from Dortmund at the end of the season, Marco Reus lit up the Westfalenstaion with one goal and two assists in the 5-1 thrashing, while the juvenile Youssoufa Moukoko – potentiall the heir to the departing teammate – chipped in with a brace of his own.

However, BVB’s need for Champions League supremacy is no longer so great, as beating PSG last week ensured that the Bundesliga would receive a fifth Champions League spot based on their UEFA coefficient, and Dortmund are guaranteed to finish either fourth or fifth in the standings.

PSG vs. Borussia Dortmund Head to head

In the previous seven meetings between these two teams, they have each claimed two victories while drawing in three. PSG have scored seven goals and conceded five in the process.

18/02/2020

Borussia Dortmund

2

PSG

1

Champions League
11/03/2020

PSG

2

Borussia Dortmund

0

Champions League
19/09/2023

PSG

2

Borussia Dortmund

0

Champions League
13/12/2023

Borussia Dortmund

1

PSG

1

Champions League
01/05/2024

Borussia Dortmund

1

PSG

0

Champions League

PSG Team News

PSG defender Lucas Hernandes (ACL) joins long-term Achilles absentee Presnel Kimpembe on the sidelines, as well as fringe duo Layvin Kurzawa (back) and Sergio Rico (head).

The unsuccessful exploits of Dembele and Bradley Barcola last week may tempt Enrique into calling upon Marco Asensio, Lee Kang-in or Goncalo Ramos to link arms with Kylian Mbappe.

PSG's Last 5 Matches

16/04/2024

Barcelona

1

PSG

4

Champions League
21/04/2024

PSG

4

Lyon

1

Ligue 1
24/04/2024

Lorient

1

PSG

4

Ligue 1
27/04/2024

PSG

3

Le Havre

3

Ligue 1
01/05/2024

Borussia Dortmund

1

PSG

0

Champions League

Borussia Dortmund Team News

BVB right-back Julian Ryerson left the field with cramps last week and was not involved against Augsburg, where Ramy Bensebaini (knee), Julien Duranville (muscle) and Sebastien Haller (discomfort) also missed.

Both Ryerson and Haller are expected to overcome their niggles in time for Tuesday, but Karim Adeyemi sustained a knock at the weekend and will need a once-over.