Arsenal vs Bayern Munich Match Analysis & Prediction
09/04/2024 10:00 pm
Familiar Champions League foes reunite in front of a bouncing Emirates atmosphere on Tuesday night, as Arsenal and Bayern Munich meet in the first leg of their quarter-final.
The Gunners overcame FC Porto on penalties to banish their knockout demons from seasons past, while Bayern – who will have none of their fans present in North London due to a firework misdemeanour – progressed this far through a second-leg turnaround against Lazio.
The last-16 monkey on Arsenal’s back had plagued the North London giants since their most recent progressesion to the last eight of the Champions League in 2009-10, where the Arsene Wenger-led crop recovered from a first-leg deficit against Porto with a dominant 5-0 Emirates victory.
Fourteen years later, the manner of Arsenal’s fightback against the Portugues powerhouses was not so emphatic, but thanks to a pair of David Raya saves from the spot while Mikel Arteta’s outfielders remained perfect from 12 yards, the Gunners emulated their 2009-10 selves and finally banished their last-16 hoodoo.
The beaten 2006 finalists now have more European demons to banish on Tuesday night – not least their recent series of humiliating Bayern batterings – as two of their last three quarter-final appearances in the Champions League ended in elimination, the outlier being victory over Villarreal in 2008-09.
However, the Emirates vibe is arguably at its zenith since Arsena left their Highbury home, as a 3-0 Premier League victory over Brighton & Hove Albion on Satuday – their 10 win from 11 top-flight games and fourth clean sheet in a row across all competitions – took them back to the top of the table amid the engrossing three-way fight for glory.
While equalling a club record of keeping five successive away clean sheets in the Premier League, Arsenal now return to their feared home on the back of six straight wins at the Emirates across all competitions, and they have won all four of their Champions League games on familiar territory this season without shipping a single goal.
Of course, Bayern possess a feared marksman with all the know-how of scoring at the Emirates Stadium in Harry Kane, who after years of Tottenham Hotspur torment finally ended his North London association in a bid to rid the silverware monkey off his back.
The England captain and another erstwhile Arsenal academy product in Serge Gnabry put Bayern 2-0 up in the weekend’s Bundesliga encounter with Heidenheim, but due to a catastrophic second-half collapse, the faltering champions all but conceded the crown to Bayer Leverkusen in a disappointing 3-2 defeat.
Sixteen points adrift of Xabi Alonso’s unbeaten side with six matches remaining, Bayern will lose their loose grip to the Bundesliga title should Leverkusen win just one of their last six maatches, so barring a footballing miracle, the Champions League will be Thomas Tuchel’s only saving grace before he calls time on his ill-fated spell this summer.
Bayern also had to do it the hard way in the last 16, fighting back from a 1-0 defeat to Lazio with a 3-0 second-leg win to make the quarter-finals for the fifth season running, but European demons have been haunting Tuesday’s visitors in recent times as well, as they have been knocked out at this stage three years running.
Keeping just one clean sheet in their last 12 matches across all competitions also serves to diminish Bayern’s confidence before they renew acquaintances with Arsenal, whom they have beaten 5-1 in each of their last three meetings, but given the respective trajectories of the two heavyweights domestically, Gooners have every right to believe that revenge is imminent.
Arsenal vs. Bayern Munich Head to head
In the 14 previous meetings between these two teams, Arsenal have claimed five victories while Bayern have won seven, and they have drawn in two. Bayern have scored 29 goals and conceded 16 in the process.
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04/11/2015Bayern Munich5Arsenal1Champions League
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15/02/2017Bayern Munich5Arsenal1Champions League
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07/03/2017Arsenal1Bayern Munich5Champions League
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19/07/2017Bayern Munich1Arsenal1 PInternational Champions Cup
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18/07/2019Arsenal2Bayern Munich1International Champions Cup
Arsenal Team News
Only ACL victim Jurrien Timber – still on track for a return before the season ends – should sit this one out for Arsenal, although Declan Rice and Kai Haverts will be treading a tightrope on Tuesday; one more booking and the pair will miss the second leg at Allianz Arena.
Arsenal's Last 5 Matches
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09/03/2024Arsenal2Brentford1Premier League
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12/03/2024ArsenalP 1Porto0Champions League
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31/03/2024Manchester City0Arsenal0Premier League
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03/04/2024Arsenal2Luton Town0Premier League
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06/04/2024Brighton & Hove Albion0Arsenal3Premier League
Bayern Munich Team News
Manuel Neuer (groin), Kingsley Coman (thigh), Leroy Sane (groin), Noussair Mazraoui (illness) and Aleksandar Pavlovic (illness) sat out the defeat to Heidenheim, and Tuchel conceded before Saturday’s loss that the quintet would be doubts for the first leg.
Bayern Munich's Last 5 Matches
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05/03/2024Bayern Munich3Lazio0Champions League
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09/03/2024Bayern Munich8Mainz1Bundesliga
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16/03/2024Darnstadt2Bayern Munich5Bundesliga
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30/03/2024Bayern Munich0Borussia Dortmund2Bundesliga
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06/04/2024Heidenheim3Bayern Munich2Bundesliga
Arsenal vs. Bayern Munich: Odds and Predictions
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