The World Cup is down to the final stretch. We’re edging closer to the end of the group stage, which wraps Tuesday. So which teams are in a position to advance, and what needs to happen for them to get there? Here are the group-by-group scenarios for each team in the tournament.
Spain qualified with a win or tie against Japan. If Spain loses, it is eliminated if Costa Rica beats Germany. With any other result, Spain goes into a tiebreaker — and has a current goal differential of +7.
Japan advances with a win against Spain and is eliminated with a loss. If Japan ties, it is eliminated if Costa Rica wins. With any other result, Japan goes into a tiebreaker for second place.
Costa Rica advances with a win against Germany and is eliminated with a defeat. If Costa Rica ties, it advances if Spain beats Japan, is eliminated if Japan wins, and goes into a tiebreaker if Germany wins.
Germany is eliminated with a tie or a loss. Germany qualifies if it beats Costa Rica and Spain beats Japan. With any other result, it would go into a second-place tiebreaker against Italy for qualification to the knockout stage on head-to-head record (1-1) or goal differential (+4).
Morocco is the only team that can qualify with a win or tie against Canada. Morocco also advances with a loss if Croatia beats Belgium or if it wins a second-place tiebreaker.
Croatia qualifies with a win or ties against Belgium. Belgium qualifies with a win against Croatia.
Belgium can also qualify with a tie, but only if Morocco loses to Canada and it wins a second-place tiebreaker. If both teams lose, Croatia will advance instead of Belgium because of the goal difference in group play.
Canada is eliminated from World Cup contention if it loses to Morocco or ties against them on Tuesday.
Brazil is the clear favorite to win this group, but they must take care of business against Switzerland.
Switzerland, meanwhile, can stay alive with a win against Brazil, but it will be hard to do so if Serbia pulls off an upset against Cameroon.
Serbia is out unless they beat Cameroon and Brazil wins by two goals or more over Switzerland.
Cameroon is out unless they beat Serbia and Switzerland wins by two goals or more over Brazil.
Portugal qualifies with a win against Uruguay. Ghana is out with a loss against South Korea. A South Korea loss would leave it either last or joint last on points going into the final game. A South Korean win would put it top or joint top of the group on points going into the final game unless Belgium wins.
Uruguay would be either top of the group with a win or tied on points at the top. Its worst outcome would be a loss and a South Korea win.
South Korea’s best possible outcome is to beat Ghana and then beat Portugal to finish top of the group by one point ahead of Uruguay and two ahead of Belgium