VfB Lubeck vs Mainz 05 Match Analysis and Prediction

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VfB Lubeck will be looking to record a major upset when the play host to Mainz 05 in the DFB-Pokal on Tuesday evening.

On the other hand, the visitors are still aiming to reach the final of Germany’s domestic cup for the first time in their history.

Lubeck have actually gone as far as Mainz have in this competition, when they uneasily lost to eventual champions Werder Bremen after extra-time in the semi-finals of the 2003-04 campaign.

They shocked second tier outfit Hansa Rostock to set up a second round tie with Mains this season, with Stadoin an der Lohmuhle set to be at full capacity when the Bundesliga opponents arrive in town.

Lukas Pfeiffer’s side finished fifth in their fourth tier of German football last season, failing to gain an instant promotion back to 3. Liga following their relegation at the end of the 2020-23 campaign.

However, Lubeck have opened up a six-point lead at the top of the table this time around, having picked up 30 points from 12 matches, and they will fully believe that they can cause another cup upset this week.

Meanwhile, Mainz will head into the contest confident of themselves after putting an end to a winless run of four matches by defeating Werder Bremen 2-0 away from home on Saturday.

Only Bayern Munich had scored more goals than Bremen heading into the weekend, but Mainz became just the second team to shut them out this season in a textbook away performance.

Mainz defeated Erzgebirge Aue by a 3-0 scoreline in the first round of the DFB-Pokal at the end of July, and Bo Svensson will be hoping for a similarly professional performance against Lubeck – who are a tier lower than Erzgebirge – on Tusday as he looks to mastermind a serious cup run this season.

VfB Lubeck vs Mainz 05 head to head

These two teams have previously met on nine occasions across two competitions, where Lubeck have claimed three victories while Mainz have won five, and they have drawn once. Mainz have scored 19 goals and conceded 11. In their last five meetings, Mainz have won four while Lubeck have won one.

Lubeck 1-3 Mainz 06/12/02

Mainz 5-1 Lubeck 18/05/03

Mainz 3-1 Lubeck 30/11/03

Lubeck 1-4 Mainz 30/04/04

Lubeck (E)2-1 Mainz 31/07/09

VfB Lubeck latest home form

VfB Lubeck have recently been on a good run of form at home, having been unbeaten in their 12 most recent matches. They managed to defeat Schwarz-Weib Rehden 4-0 in their last home game in the league. In their last five matches, they have scored 11 goals and conceded three.

Lubeck 2-1 Werder Bremen II 09/09/22

Lubeck 1-1 St. Pauli II 18/09/22

Lubeck 1-0 Phonix Lubeck 22/09/22

Lubeck 3-1 Atlas Delmenhorst 30/09/22

Lubeck 4-0 Schwarz-Weib Rehden 15/10/22

VfB Lubeck latest away form

VfB Lubeck have recently been on a good run of form on the road, having been unbeaten in their 12 most recent matches. They defeated Teutonia Ottensen 2-0 in their last away game in the league. In their last five matches, they have scored 10 goals and conceded just two.

Bremer SV 1-3 Lubeck 14/08/22

Borussia Hildesheim 0-0 Lubeck 21/08/22

Phonix Lubeck 0-4 Lubeck 31/08/22

Hamburger SV II 1-1 Lubeck 18/09/22

Teutonia Ottensen 0-2 Lubeck 09/10/22

Mainz 05 latest home form

Mainz 05 have recently failed to keep a good run of form at home, having been winless in their six most recent matches. They drew 1-1 with RB Leipzig in their last home game in the league. In their last five matches, they have scored four goals and conceded 10.

Mainz 0-0 Union Berlin 14/08/22

Mainz 0-3 Bayer Leverkusen 27/08/22

Mainz 1-1 Hertha Berlin 16/09/22

Mainz 2-5 Karlsruhe 22/09/22

Mainz 1-1 RB Leipzig 08/10/22

Mainz 05 latest away form

Mainz 05 have recently been on a relatively good run of form on the road, having lost just one of their nine most recent matches. They defeated Werder Bremen 2-0 in their last away game in the league. In their last five matches, they have scored seven goals and conceded seven.

Augsburg 1-2 Mainz 20/08/22

Borussia M’gladbach 0-1 Mainz 04/09/22

Hoffenheim 4-1 Mainz 10/09/22

Freiburg 2-1 Mainz 01/10/22

Werder Bremen 0-2 Mainz 15/10/22

VfB Lubeck news

Lubeck will take to the pitch without Florian Egerer, Eric Grundemann, Mats Facklan and Jose Aguirre due to injury.

Captain Tommy Grupe, who kept a clean sheet against his former side Hansa in the previous round, will lead the defense as they look to win against all odds once again.

Mainz 05 news

Mainz may travel without Marlon Mustapha, Maxim Leitsch, Stefan Bell and club captain Silvan Widmer due to injury.

With the visitors facing FC Cologne in the Bundesliga just three days later, Svensson could rotate accordingly, with the likes of Angelo Fulgini, Aymen Barkok and Anthony Caci all set for starts.

Prediction and Odds

Mainz 05 will be keen to build on their performance against Werder Bremen at the weekend by picking up another crucial victory away from home.

Lubeck are likely to make it difficult for the visitors, but Svensson’s side should have too much quality and discipline to fall to a surprise defeat.

Odds: 1 3.12 X 2.05 2 2.21