Uruguay vs Peru Match Analysis and Prediction

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Uruguay and Peru will be meeting in their second last CONMEBOL World Cup qualifier at the Centenario on Friday.

Both nations will be looking to secure their place at this year’s tournament in Qatar, with the hosts currently sitting fourth in the standing, one place and a point above the visitors in fifth.

After suffering four straight defeats in CONMEBOL Qualifying between October and November last year, Uruguay have since bounced back with successive victories under new manager Diego Alonso.

Six wins, four draws and six defeats leaves Uruguay with 22 points from their 16 matches and they are clinging on to the fourth and final automatic qualification spot.

However, victory against Peru on Friday would secure their place at this year’s competition in Qatar, before facing Chile in their final qualification fixture on March 30.

Uruguay have won five of their last 11 encounters against Peru in all competitions and are currently unbeaten in each of their last four against them, including three draws.

Following a disappointing start to their qualification campaign, winning only three of their opening 12 games – including four defeats and a draw in their opening five- Peru have since turned their fortunes around and are in contention for a top four place.

Peru won three successive games against Bolivia, Venezuela and Colombia before drawing 1-1 against Ecuador in their most recent qualifier last month.

That result has seen them drop down to fifth place into the inter-confederation playoff spot, but they are only one point behind Uruguay and have a favourable final fixture against already-eliminated Paraguay next week.

La Blanquirroja have not defeated Uruguay since March 2017 when they won 2-1 at home, but success in Montevideo would provide a huge boost in their quest to qualify for back-to-back World Cup tournaments for the first time since 1982.

Uruguay vs Peru head to head

The two national teams have previously met on 21 occasions across all competitions, where both have taken eight victories each and have drawn in five. Uruguay have scored 28 goals and conceded 25. In their last five meetings, Peru have won twice, Uruguay once and they have drawn in two.

Peru 2-1 Uruguay 29/03/17

Uruguay 0-0(P) Peru 29/06/19

Uruguay 1-0 Peru 12/10/19

Peru 1-1 Uruguay 16/10/19

Peru 1-1 Uruguay 03/09/21

Uruguay latest home form

Uruguay have recently been on a relatively good run of form at home, having lost only one of their five most recent matches. In their last home game, they defeated Venezuela 4-1 in the World Cup Qualification. In their last five matches, they have scored nine goals and conceded four.

Uruguay 4-2 Bolivia 06/09/21

Uruguay 1-0 Ecuador 10/09/21

Uruguay 0-0 Colombia 08/10/21

Uruguay 0-1 Argentina 13/11/21

Uruguay 4-1 Venezuela 02/02/22

Uruguay latest away form

Uruguay have recently failed to keep a good run of form on the road, having won just one of their five most recent matches. In their last away game, they defeated Paraguay 1-0 in the World Cup Qualification. In their last five matches, they have scored three goals and conceded 11.

Peru 1-1 Uruguay 03/09/21

Argentina 3-0 Uruguay 11/10/21

Brazil 4-1 Uruguay 15/10/21

Bolivia 3-0 Uruguay 16/11/21

Paraguay 0-1 Uruguay 28/01/22

Peru latest home form

Peru have recently been on a good run of form at home, having been unbeaten in their eight most recent matches. In their last home game, they picked up a 1-1 draw against Ecuador in the World Cup Qualification. In their last five, they have scored 10 goals and conceded two.

Peru 2-0 Chile 08/10/21

Peru 3-0 Bolivia 12/11/21

Peru 1-1 Panama 17/01/22

Peru 3-0 Jamaica 21/01/22

Peru 1-1 Ecuador 02/02/22

Peru latest away form

Peru have recently been on a poor run of form on the road. However, they seen to be on an uprturn in form having been unbeaten in their two most recent matches. In their last five away matches, they have won two and lost three, scoring three goals and conceded five.

Brazil 2-0 Peru 10/09/21

Bolivia 1-0 Peru 10/10/21

Argentina 1-0 Peru 15/10/21

Venezuela 1-2 Peru 17/11/21

Colombia 0-1 Peru 29/01/22

Uruguay news

Uruguay will be able to welcome back Matias Vecino and Lucas Torreira, who missed their last match due to suspension and COVID-19 respectively.

Both centre-midfielders will be battling to start alongside Bentancur, while Manchester United’s Facundo Pellistri could be handed another start on the right hand side of the midfield.

Peru news

Aldo Corzo and Christian Cueva both served one-match suspensions last time out and are available to return to the starting lineup on Friday.

Corzo could replace Luis Advincula at right-back, while Cueva will be competing with Raziel Garcia for a place on the left flank, with midfielder Renato Tapia retaining his place.

Prediction and Odds

We are expecting this match to be a closely- fought one, though Uruguay will head into the contest as favourites given their star names like Suarez and Cavani can be called upon.

The hosts will likely cause problems in the final third, but we believe the hosts have more scoring capability and could win.

Odds: 1 1.90 X 2.05 2 2.45