Canada vs Cuba Match Analysis & Prediction

Canada

05/07/2023 1:30 am

Cuba

With their place in the quarter-finals of the Gold Cup hanging in the balance, Canada will face Cuba on Wednesday morning at Shell Energy Stadium in the final group game for each side.

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Following a goalless draw against Guatemala on matchday two, Canada must win this match to progress into the knockout stage for a fourth successive time, while Cuba were officially eliminated after losing 4-1 to Guadeloupe.

The Lone Star State of Texas has not been kind to this team historically, with Canada winning just one of their nine matches played there.

While their two performances at the 2023 Gold Cup are a far cry from what was seen in 2021, their formula to progress into the next round is quite simple, to win.

Canada will enter this contest on a six-game winning run against Cuba, with their previous Gold Cup win against them being a 7-0 thrashing in 2019.

Coming into this competition fresh off an impressive CONCACAF Nations League campaign in which they topped their group with 15 points, there was a lot of optimism that Cuba could cause a few surrises at the Gold Cup.

However, it has been the same old from Los Leones del Caribe, who have now lost five straight matches across all competitions, with their last Gold Cup win coming in 2015 against Guatemala (1-0).

Since a 2-0 victory over Canada at the 2003 Gold Cup, Cuba have lost every one of their matches against North American opponents, scoring just four times over that span, with their last one coming in 2013 when they suffered a 4-1 defeat to the USA.

Canada vs. Cuba Head to head

In the previous 19 meetings between these two teams across all competitions, Canada have claimed 11 victories while Cuba have won five, and they have drawn in three. Cuba have scored 15 goals and conceded 34 in the process.

  • 08/06/2012
    Cuba
    0
    Canada
    1
    Concacaf World Cup Qualifiers
  • 13/10/2012
    Canada
    3
    Cuba
    0
    Concacaf World Cup Qualifiers
  • 24/06/2019
    Canada
    7
    Cuba
    0
    Concacaf Gold Cup
  • 08/09/2019
    Canada
    6
    Cuba
    0
    Concacaf Nations League
  • 11/09/2019
    Cuba
    0
    Canada
    1
    Concacaf Nations League

Canada Team News

Milan Borjan now holds the Canadian goalkeeping record for most starts as the captain (16), collecting his 77th cap on Saturday along with a team-record 35th clean sheet.

Ali Ahmed, Moise Bombito and Zac McGraw each made their second successive appearances for the senior team after being uncapped heading into this tournament.

Canada's Last 5 Matches

  • 29/03/2023
    Canada
    4
    Honduras
    1
    Concacaf Nations League
  • 16/06/2023
    Panama
    0
    Canada
    2
    Concacaf Nations League
  • 19/06/2023
    Canada
    0
    United States
    2
    Concacaf Nations League
  • 28/06/2023
    Canada
    2
    Guadeloupe
    2
    Concacaf Gold Cup
  • 02/07/2023
    Guatemala
    0
    Canada
    0
    Concacaf Gold Cup

Cuba Team News

Aldair Ruiz will be suspended for Cuba after receiving a straight red card late in their defeat to Guadeloupe.

Cavafe, Yasniel Matos and Maikel Reyes drew into the lineup in place of Dariel Morejon, Ruiz and Neisser Sando, with the latter having defected to the United States according to reports.

Cuba's Last 5 Matches

  • 26/03/2023
    Cuba
    1
    Guadeloupe
    0
    Concacaf Nations League
  • 12/06/2023
    Chile
    3
    Cuba
    0
    Friendlies
  • 21/06/2023
    Uruguay
    2
    Cuba
    0
    Friendlies
  • 28/06/2023
    Guatemala
    1
    Cuba
    0
    Concacaf Gold Cup
  • 02/07/2023
    Cuba
    1
    Guadeloupe
    4
    Concacaf Gold Cup

Canada vs. Cuba: Odds and Predictions

Main Prediction

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