Spezia vs Brescia Match Analysis and Prediction

2 years ago 562

Spezia play host to Serie B side Brescia at the Stadio Alberto Picco looking for a positive result in the Coppa Italia on Wednesday.

The two sides swapped divisions in 2020 when Spezia were promoted to Serie A while Brescia were relegated into the second tier.

Spezia would have felt satisfied with the start they have made to the season under Luca Gotti, who replaced Thiago Motta as manager over the summer, as they sit four points clear of danger after 10 games.

M’Bala Nzola’s form has proved a key factor in their solid start, as the forward has found a knack of scoring important goals, netting the winning goal in both of their league wins so far, with six goals overall for the season so far.

Another reason they can be pleased with the start they have made is that they were given a tough run of away matches to start the campaign, playing Inter Milan, Juventus, Napoli and Lazio in their opening four games away from home.

However, Spezia still find themselves in a relatively safe position at the moment, even though they are the only side in Serie A yet to collect a point or score a goal away from home.

Brescia, who are battling to return to the top flight after two successive failures in the playoffs, started the season impressively, winning five of their first six matches.

However, things have changed very rapidly since returning from the international break, as just one point from a possible nine has seen them fall from joint first to seventh.

A 6-2 defeat to Bari appears to be where that poor run of results started and it began going wrong, and it could have been worse as they were trailing by a 6-0 scoreline with five minutes to go.

Spezia vs Brescia head to head

These two teams have previously met on 19 occasions across two competitios, where Spezia have claimed nine victories while Brescia have won three, and they have drawn in seven. Spezia have scored 30 goals and conceded 20. In their last five meetings, they have each won once while drawing three.

Brescia 1-1 Spezia 18/03/17

Brescia 1-1 Spezia 18/11/17

Spezia 0-1 Brescia 17/04/18

Spezia 3-2 Brescia 01/09/18

Brescia 4-4 Spezia 27/01/19

Spezia latest home form

Spezia have recently been on a good run of form at home, having been unbeaten in their seven most recent matches. They played out a 2-2 draw with Cremonese in their last home game in the league. In their last five matches, they have scored nine goals and conceded seven.

Spezia 1-0 Empoli 14/08/22

Spezia 2-2 Sassuolo 27/08/22

Spezia 2-2 Bologna 04/09/22

Spezia 2-1 Sampdoria 17/09/22

Spezia 2-2 Cremonese 16/10/22

Spezia latest away form

Spezia have recently been on a poor run of form on the road, as they have lost each of their five most recent matches. They lost 2-0 to Monza in their last away game in the league. In their last five matches, they have conceded 12 goals while failing to score.

Inter Milan 3-0 Spezia 20/08/22

Juventus 2-0 Spezia 31/08/22

Napoli 1-0 Spezia 10/09/22

Lazio 4-0 Spezia 02/10/22

Monza 2-0 Spezia 09/10/22

Brescia latest home form

Brescia have recently been on a good run of form at home, having been unbeaten in their six most recent matches. They played out a 1-1 draw with Cittadela in their last home game in the league. In their last five matches, they have scored 10 goals and conceded four.

Brescia 4-1 Mantova 30/07/22

Brescia 2-0 Sudtirol 14/08/22

Brescia 2-1 Perugia 03/09/22

Brescia 1-0 Benevento 16/09/22

Brescia 1-1 Cittadela 08/10/22

Brescia latest away form

Brescia have recently failed to keep a good run of form on the road, having won just two of their five most recent matches. They lost 2-1 to Cagliari in their last away game in the league. In their last five matches, they have scored seven goals and conceded 12.

Frosinone 3-0 Brescia 21/08/22

Como 0-1 Brescia 29/08/22

Modena 1-3 Brescia 10/09/22

Bari 6-2 Brescia 01/10/22

Cagliari 2-1 Brescia 15/10/22

Spezia news

Simone Bastoni missed the 2-2 draw with Cremonese on Sunday with a minor muscle injury, but he may be ready to make a return for this contest.

Arkadiusz Reca is not quite as ready to return to the starting lineup, as the left-back has been missing since before the international break with a hamstring injury.

Brescia news

Australian full-back Fran Karacic has been the only Brescia absentee of late, but he could make a return on Wednesday on the right-hand side in place of Alexander Jallow.

Luca Lezzerini has been a regular in goal for the visitors this season, but Lorenzo Andrenacci could be be handed a start.

Prediction and Odds

The last encounter between the two sides ended in a 4-4 draw back in 2019 in Serie B, and even though both teams recorded big wins in the first round, they are likely to draw again.

However, Spezia’s top-flight quality may just prove enough to defeat a Brescia side seeking for confidence.

Odds: 1 1.89 X 2.05 2 2.79