Rayo Vallecano vs Lugo Match Analysis and Prediction

The final matchday of La Liga Segunda Division brings yet another exciting and crunch match when the promotion hopefuls Rayo Vallecano lock horns with the relegation battlers Lugo at Estadio de Vallecas on Sunday with kickoff at 22:00.

Rayo Vallecano are currently enjoying a good form and a three-match winning streak; however, they are in a must-win situation as they head into tomorrow’s clash. A win for Vallecano will help them seal a top-six finish and earn them a place in the promotion playoffs next week.

Lugo on the other hand, find themselves in a must-win situation as they currently stand in the 18th position with 44 points in the league standings only a point above the relegation zone and the three points tomorrow will secure them top flight Segunda league football for the 10th consecutive season.

Both teams will be hoping that their rivals drop points and they both head into the match off the back of wins. Rayo Vallecano won 0-2 against Castellon and Lugo won 2-1 over Cartagena last Monday.

The last time these two met Lugo won by a mere 1-0 but we predict that the hosts will prevail in this one given the visitors poor away record this season. Also, when playing at home Vallecano have not lost to Lugo in their last three encounters.

Rayo Vallecano vs Lugo head to head

Both sides have played against each other in eight matches since 2006 and Vallecano have prevailed with five victories while Lugo have won three times. Take a look at their past five encounters;

  • Lugo 1-0 Vallecano Nov 1, 2020
  • Vallecano 1-0 Lugo Jan 15, 2020
  • Lugo 1-0 Vallecano Nov 3, 2019
  • Vallecano 1-0 Lugo May 27, 2018
  • Lugo 1-2 Vallecano Dec 22, 2017


  • Castellon 0-2 Vallecano
  • Vallecano 4-1 Oviedo
  • Fuenlabrada 1-2 Vallecano
  • Vallecano 1-1 Leganes
  • Sabadell 2-0 Vallecano


  • Lugo 2-1 Cartagena
  • Albacete 1-1 Lugo
  • Lugo 2-1 Mirandes
  • Gijon 1-0 Lugo
  • Lugo 2-2 Zaragoza

Vallecano team news

Rayo are most likely to miss the services of their winger Tiago Bebe who is nursing an injury. However, the host will expect their forward Qasmi to cause problems for Lugo.

Lugo team news

The visitors will have their full squad available with Gerard Valentin expected to cause problems for the hosts defenders.

Prediction and odds

  • Rayo Vallecano win
  • Goals under 2.5
  • Correct score 1-0

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