Wales vs Poland Match Analysis & Prediction

Wales

26/03/2024 10:45 pm

Poland

With a spot in Euro 2024 Group D at stake, Wales and Poland will meet at the Cardiff City Stadium on Tuesday night, in the final of qualifying playoff Path A.

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Rob Page’s side made light work of semi-final foes Finland in a 4-1 thrashing, while their visitors barely broke a sweat in their most recent tie either, beating Estonia 5-1.

Playoff glory is nothing new for Wales, who qualified for the 2022 World Cup through such a method, and a daunting summer schedule with France, the Netherlands and Austria will be their prize if they can repeat the trick in front of the Cardiff crowd on Tuesday.

As well as being blessed with home advantage, Wales enter Tuesday’s final on a seven-game unbeaten run across all competitions and have scored in each of their last six matches, although while failing to keep a clean sheet in any of their last four either.

Wales may have suffered a disappointing 4-2 defeat to Armenia just nine months ago, but that loss represents their only beating from their last 16 home games in Euros qualifying, and not since a goalless draw with Israel in September 2015 have they failed to score in front of their own fans in preliminary continental competition.

Martin Vetkal at least managed to nab a consolation for Estonia, although a completely inconsequential one as Poland surged into the final, where they will qualify for their fifth successive Euros by breaking Wales hearts in Cardiff.

Present at every continental gathering since 2008, although while progressing beyond the group stage in just one of those four tournaments, Poland also arrive in Wales with a respectable unbeaten run to protect, having avoided defeat in their five games under Michal Probierz so far.

Wales vs. Poland Head to head

In the nine previous meetings between these two teams, Wales have claimed one victory while Poland have won seven, and they have drawn in one. Poland have scored 13 goals and conceded six in the process.

  • 13/10/2004
    Wales
    2
    Poland
    3
    UEFA World Cup Qualifiers
  • 07/09/2005
    Poland
    1
    Wales
    0
    UEFA World Cup Qualifiers
  • 11/02/2009
    Wales
    0
    Poland
    1
    Friendlies
  • 01/06/2022
    Poland
    2
    Wales
    1
    UEFA Nations League
  • 25/09/2022
    Wales
    0
    Poland
    1
    UEFA Nations League

Wales Team News

Against Finland, no players fell victim to injuries or suspension-incurring cards, although Joe Low, Ben Cabango and Wes Burns were all forced to withdraw from the Wales squad before the four-goal romping.

Adam Davies, Dylan Levitt and Rubin Colwill did not make Page’s 23-man squad on Thursday, although those were seemingly tactical selections from the Dragons manager.

Wales's Last 5 Matches

  • 11/10/2023
    Wales
    4
    Gibraltar
    0
    Friendlies
  • 15/10/2023
    Wales
    2
    Croatia
    1
    Euros Qualifiers
  • 18/11/2023
    Armenia
    1
    Wales
    1
    Euros Qualifiers
  • 21/11/2023
    Wales
    1
    Turkiye
    1
    Euros Qualifiers
  • 21/03/2024
    Wales
    4
    Finland
    1
    Euros Qualifiers

Poland Team News

Against Estonia, Przemyslaw Frankowski was taken off at halftime for Aston Villa’s Matty Cash, who lasted just 10 minutes himself before succumbing to a suspected hamstring issue.

Fifty-four-cap defender Bartosz Bereszynski – a notable absentee from the squad to face Estonia – could be drafted back in as cover, but Probierz should otherwise see no need to shuffle the 3-5-2 formation.

Poland's Last 5 Matches

  • 12/10/2023
    Faroe Islands
    0
    Poland
    2
    Euros Qualifiers
  • 15/10/2023
    Poland
    1
    Moldova
    1
    Euros Qualifiers
  • 17/11/2023
    Poland
    1
    Czechia
    1
    Euros Qualifiers
  • 21/11/2023
    Poland
    2
    Latvia
    0
    Friendlies
  • 21/03/2024
    Poland
    5
    Estonia
    1
    Euros Qualifiers

Wales vs. Poland: Odds and Predictions

Main Prediction

Double Chance: Wales or X

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