United States vs Mexico Match Analysis & Prediction

United States

20/04/2023 5:00 am

Mexico

Two of the long-time powerhouse teams in CONCACAF will meet on Thursday as the United States host Mexico at State Farm Stadium in Phoenix in what can termed as the first annual Continental Clasico.

Goals Under 2.5: Yes
Best Odds: 1.67
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Double Chance: USA or X
Best Odds: 1.37
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This game will be a dress rehearsal for both teams before they face each other in the CONCACAF Nations League semi-final this June, having each topped their respective groups.

After a couple of poor performances against Serbia and Colombia at the beginning of the year, USA have bounced back nicely, winning their final two group matches in the Nations League 7-1 over Grenada and 1-0 versus El Salvador.

Interim manager Anthony Hudson adjusted his formation in those Nations League matches, going with a 4-2-3-1 as opposed to the 4-3-3 employed in his first two games in charge, and it made a huge difference in their performances.

Lately, the US have got the better of their Mexican rivals, unbeaten in their last four matches against them, including their previous three on American soil.

Following a disappointing perofrmance in Qatar last winter, Mexico are going through a transitional period in the hopes of reclaiming their status as a force in CONCACAF.

The future of the team is now in the hands of Diego Cocca, who is coming off a successful sting with Atlas, leading them to their first Apertura title in Liga MX in 70 years back in 2021 and helping them claim the Clausura crown the following year.

In his two matches in charge, El Tri have controlled the tempo of those games while maintaining much of the possession, although they have not always shown that killer instinct in the attack, taking 25 shots against Jamaica but playing to a 2-2 draw.

Mexico have not beaten the United States since September 2019 (3-0), their longest winless run against the Yanks since failing to win in six successive matches from August 2011 to April 2015.

United States vs. Mexico Head to head

In the 75 previous meetings between these two teams across all competitions, United States have claimed 25 victories while Mexico have won 34, and they have drawn in 16. Mexico have scored 146 goals and conceded 90 in the process.

  • 07/09/2019
    United States
    0
    Mexico
    3
    Friendlies
  • 07/06/2021
    United States
    (E)3
    Mexico
    2
    Concacaf Nations League
  • 02/08/2021
    United States
    (E)1
    Mexico
    0
    Concacaf Gold Cup
  • 13/11/2021
    United States
    2
    Mexico
    0
    Concacaf World Cup Qualifiers
  • 25/03/2022
    Mexico
    0
    United States
    0
    Concacaf World Cup Qualifiers

United States Team News

Paul Arriola had been experiencing tightness in his right hamstring, and Cristian Roldan is entering concussion protocal with both being dropped from the USA team as a precaution.

Caleb Wiley, Drake Callender and Joshua Wynder will participate in their first camp with the senior team.

United States's Last 5 Matches

  • 03/12/2022
    Netherlands
    3
    United States
    1
    FIFA World Cup
  • 26/01/2023
    United States
    1
    Serbia
    2
    Friendlies
  • 29/01/2023
    United States
    0
    Colombia
    0
    Friendlies
  • 25/03/2023
    Grenada
    1
    United States
    7
    Concacaf Nations League
  • 28/03/2023
    United States
    1
    El Salvador
    0
    Concacaf Nations League

Mexico Team News

Julian Araujo, currently on the Barcelona B team, is the only El Tri player called up for this game who features outside of Mexico.

Roberto de la Rosa, Aldo Rocha, Ozziel Herrera, Victor Guzman, Omar Campos, Jose Antonio Rodriguez and Luis Malagon will be seeking their first appearance for the senior squad on Thursday.

Mexico's Last 5 Matches

  • 22/11/2022
    Mexico
    0
    Poland
    0
    FIFA World Cup
  • 26/11/2022
    Argentina
    2
    Mexico
    0
    FIFA World Cup
  • 30/11/2022
    Saudi Arabia
    1
    Mexico
    2
    FIFA World Cup
  • 24/03/2023
    Suriname
    0
    Mexico
    2
    Concacaf Nations League
  • 27/03/2023
    Mexico
    2
    Jamaica
    2
    Concacaf Nations League

United States vs. Mexico: Odds and Predictions

Main Prediction

Double Chance: USA or X

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