Ukraine vs Iceland Match Analysis & Prediction

Ukraine

26/03/2024 10:45 pm

Iceland

Path B of the Euro 2024 qualifying playoffs concludes on Tuesday night in Poland, where Ukraine and Iceland meet for the right to progress to this summer’s tournament.

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Sergy Rebrov’s side eked out a 2-1 victory over Bosnia-Herzegovina to progress to the midweek encounter, while their Nordic opponents beat Israel 4-1 in their semi-final.

Forced to go through 180 minutes of playoff action due to their third-placed finish in Group C, although only behind Euro 2020 finalists England and Italy, Ukraine will be present at the continental finals for the fourth time in a row should they win on Tuesday, in their adopted home of Wroclaw.

Ukraine arrive for the Path B final in both good spirits and good form, having secured their third victory from four matches with their praiseworthy comeback win over Bosnia, and their only two defeats from their last 12 matches across all competitions have come to Italy and England.

While Rebrov’s side are not taking to the field in their war-torn nation on Tuesday, they have put together a nine-game unbeaten run in ‘home’ Euros qualifiers since a 1-0 defeat to Spain in October 2015 and have not conceded multiple goals in such a game since a 2-2 draw with France in November 2007.

Those aforementioned statistics suggest that an Iceland side lacking Ukraine’s continental nous have their work cut out to return to Europe’s top table for 2024, having failed to force their way into the Euro 2020 groups five years on from their historic run to the quarter-finals at the 2016 edition.

With friendly victories over Honduras and Guatemala also under their belt from January’s friendlies, Iceland could now triumph in four successive matches for the first time since October 2014, and doing so would secure them a spot in Euro 2024 Group E with Belgium, Slovakia and Romania.

Ukraine vs. Iceland Head to head

In the four previous meetings between these two teams, they have each claimed one victory while drawing in two.

  • 31/03/1999
    Ukraine
    1
    Iceland
    1
    Euros Qualifiers
  • 08/09/1999
    Iceland
    0
    Ukraine
    1
    Euros Qualifiers
  • 05/09/2016
    Ukraine
    1
    Iceland
    1
    UEFA World Cup Qualifiers
  • 05/09/2017
    Iceland
    2
    Ukraine
    0
    UEFA World Cup Qualifiers
  • 26/03/2024
    Ukraine
    N/A
    Iceland
    N/A
    Euros Qualifiers

Ukraine Team News

Girona wing wizard Viktor Tsygankov was absent from the Ukraine squad against Bosnia entirely due to injury and is not guaranteed to be available for this match, although he is now training again.

Roman Yaremchuk may have to try to play the role of super substitute again as Artem Dovbyk leads the line, while Arsenal’s Oleksandr Zinchemko captains the team from his familiar midfield position.

Ukraine's Last 5 Matches

  • 12/09/2022
    Italy
    2
    Ukraine
    1
    Euros Qualifiers
  • 14/10/2023
    Ukraine
    2
    North Macedonia
    0
    Euros Qualifiers
  • 17/10/2023
    Malta
    1
    Ukraine
    3
    Euros Qualifiers
  • 20/11/2023
    Ukraine
    0
    Italy
    0
    Euros Qualifiers
  • 21/03/2024
    Bosnia-Herzegovina
    1
    Ukraine
    2
    Euros Qualifiers

Iceland Team News

Against Israel, goalscorer Arnor Ingvi Traustason and Blackburn Rovers winger Arnor Sigurdsson – victim of a red card-worthy tackle from Roy Revivo – were both withdrawn through injury.

Age Hareide will be keeping his fingers crossed over Sigurdsson in particular due to Johann Berg Gudmundsson’s absence from the semi-final – the Burnley man is nursing a thigh injury which is more serious that first thought.

Iceland's Last 5 Matches

  • 16/11/2023
    Slovakia
    4
    Iceland
    2
    Euros Qualifiers
  • 19/11/2023
    Portugal
    2
    Iceland
    0
    Euros Qualifiers
  • 14/01/2024
    Guatemala
    0
    Iceland
    1
    Friendlies
  • 18/01/2024
    Honduras
    0
    Iceland
    2
    Friendlies
  • 21/03/2024
    Israel
    1
    Iceland
    4
    Euros Qualifiers

Ukraine vs. Iceland: Odds and Predictions

Main Prediction

1X2: 1

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