Rosario Central vs Caracas Match Analysis & Prediction

Rosario Central

17/05/2024 1:00 am

Caracas

Requiring victory to keep their slim knockout-stage hopes alive, Caracas travel to Estadio Gigante de Arroyito on Friday for a date with Rosario Central on matchday five in the Copa Libertadores group stage.

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A 1-0 home defeat to Atletico Mineiro dropped the Argentines down to third in Group G with four points, while La Rojos del Avila lost the same scoreline to Penarol and are dead last with just a single point.

Another slow start came back to burn Rosario on matchday four of this competition as they conceded the opening goal for a third successive time in the group stage.

That defeat put them outside of the top two and a spot in the knockout stage of the Libertadores, and in a difficult position as a loss or draw against Caracas combined with a Penarol win would put them out of contention for a berth in the last 16.

Since beating Penarol 1-0 on matchday one of this tournament, it has been rough going for Miguel Angel Russo’s and his side, who are winless in their last six matches across all competitions.

Victory on Friday would not only increase their odds of making the knockout stage of this competition for the first time since 2016, but it would also surpass their points total from 2019 (five), which was their previous appearance in the group stage.

Rosario have never lost to a Venezuelan opponent in the Copa Libertadores, winning three of five encounters all-time, including their only two home games against sides in the Venezuelan top flight.

Meanwhile, it is now or never for Caracas, who need maximum points from their final two group matches to have any hope of progressing into the knockout stage of this competition for the first time since 2009 (quarter-finalists).

The record 12-time champions of Venezuela have scored just two goals in this tournament so far, the joint second-lowest in the group stage, with only Brazilian side Gremio netting fewer (one).

Henry Melendez’s side have not won an away game in the group stage of the Libertadores since hanging onto a 3-2 victory over Colombian side Independiente Medellin in March 2020.

Los Rojos del Avila have secured just one victory on Argentine soil in this tournament, stunning River Plate with a 1-0 win at Estadio Mas Monumental during the 2007 group stage.

Rosario Central vs. Caracas Head to head

These two sides have only previously met on just one occasion, playing out a 1-1 draw.

  • 24/04/2024
    Caracas
    1
    Rosario Central
    1
    CONMEBOL Libertadores
  • 17/05/2024
    N/A
    N/A
    N/A
    N/A
    N/A
  • 17/05/2024
    N/A
    N/A
    N/A
    N/A
    N/A
  • 17/05/2024
    N/A
    N/A
    N/A
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  • 17/05/2024
    Rosario Central
    N/A
    Caracas
    N/A
    CONMEBOL Libertadores

Rosario Central Team News

Both Francis Mac Allister and Agustin Bravo sat out of the previous Libertadores match for Rosario with ACL issues, while Abel Hernandez was not available due to a thigh injury.

There were two newcomers in their starting XI on matchday four of this competition, with Jonatan Gomez and Agustin Modica coming in to replace Lautaro Giaccone and Tobias Cervera.

Rosario Central's Last 5 Matches

  • 11/04/2024
    Atletico Mineiro
    2
    Rosario Central
    1
    CONMEBOL Libertadores
  • 18/04/2024
    Rosario Central
    1
    Deportivo Riestra
    1
    Liga Profesional Argentina
  • 24/04/2024
    Caracas
    1
    Rosario Central
    1
    CONMEBOL Libertadores
  • 08/05/2024
    Rosario Central
    0
    Atletico Mineiro
    1
    CONMEBOL Libertadores
  • 11/05/2024
    Argentinos Juniors
    3
    Rosario Central
    2
    Liga Profesional Argentina

Caracas Team News

Caracas made three changes to their starting XI from matchday three to four, adding Frankarlos Benitez, Luis Casiani and Manuel Sulbaran to replace Wuilker Farinez, Piero Mollica and Ender Echenique.

Edwuin Pernia and Danny Perez are the only players to score for Los Rojos del Avila in this tournament, both of which came on home soil.

Caracas's Last 5 Matches

  • 11/04/2024
    Penarol
    5
    Caracas
    0
    CONMEBOL Libertadores
  • 15/04/2024
    Caracas
    2
    UCV
    2
    Primera Division
  • 20/04/2024
    Carabobo
    1
    Caracas
    0
    Primera Division
  • 24/04/2024
    Caracas
    1
    Rosario Central
    1
    CONMEBOL Libertadores
  • 08/05/2024
    Caracas
    0
    Penarol
    1
    CONMEBOL Libertadores

Rosario Central vs. Caracas: Odds and Predictions

Main Prediction

1X2: 1

Best Odds

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