Napoli vs AC Milan Match Analysis & Prediction

Napoli

18/04/2023 10:00 pm

AC Milan

Following a tightly-contest match last week, first-time quarter-finalists Napoli and seven-time winners AC Milan reconvene on Tuesday, as they battle it out for a spot in the Champions League semi-finals.

Handicap AC Milan (+1.5): Yes
Best Odds: 1.33
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1X2: 1
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When the two Italian giants met at Stadio Maredona in the league last month, Milan secured a 4-0 victory, and they now take a one-goal lead with them down to Naples.

They may be set to relieve Serie A’s reigning champions of their Scudetto, leading Italy’s top flight by 14 point with just eight matches left to play, but Napoli have failed to get the better of Milan in recent weeks and have a deficit to overturn if they are to reach the Champions League’s final four.

Having suffered a surprise four-goal league defeat to Milan at the beginning of April, Stadio Maradona no longer seems such an impenetrable fortress, as not only have Napoli also lost to Lazio there recently, as the weekend they failed to break down a dogged Hellas Verona side battling against relegation.

Napoli are the Champions League’s top scorers and are unbeaten in their last 12 home matches in the competition, winning each of their four games at the Maradona this season and scoring at least three times on each occasion.

The last side to beat Napoli three times in one season was Lazio, way back in the 1994-95 campaign, but Milan will surely feel they have the Azzurri’s number after successive wins over them this month.

Milan have also taken maximum points from each of their last three league visits to Naples, so will not be intimidated by the warm southern welcome that awaits them on Tuesday.

The Rossoneri have ultimately come through 38 of 44 UEFA ties after winning the first leg at hme, so history is certainly on their side as they seek to secure a potential semi-final date with city rivals Inter next month.

However, a much-changed XI continued a rough run of results in Serie A on Saturday, with the victory over Napoli being Milan’s only domestic success since February.

Napoli vs. AC Milan Head to head

In the 48 previous meetings between these two teams, Napoli have claimed 15 victories while Milan have won 16, and they have drawn in 17. Milan have scored 62 goals and conceded 56 in the process.

  • 19/12/2021
    AC Milan
    0
    Napoli
    1
    Serie A
  • 06/03/2022
    Napoli
    0
    AC Milan
    1
    Serie A
  • 18/09/2022
    AC Milan
    1
    Napoli
    2
    Serie A
  • 02/04/2023
    Napoli
    0
    AC Milan
    4
    Serie A
  • 12/04/2023
    AC Milan
    1
    Napoli
    0
    Champions League

Napoli Team News

Although Victor Osimhen has now fully recovered from injury, his deputy Giovanni Simeone again misses out with a thigh issue, while fellow forward Giacomo Raspadori should drop out of the starting XI.

In Frank Zambo Anguissa’s absence, either Eljif Elmas or Tanguy Ndombele will compete the hosts’ midfield trio alongside Stanislav Lobotka and Piotr Zielinski.

Napoli's Last 5 Matches

  • 19/03/2023
    Torino
    0
    Napoli
    4
    Serie A
  • 02/04/2023
    Napoli
    0
    AC Milan
    4
    Serie A
  • 07/04/2023
    Lecce
    1
    Napoli
    2
    Serie A
  • 12/04/2023
    AC Milan
    1
    Napoli
    0
    Champions League
  • 15/04/2023
    Napoli
    0
    Verona
    0
    Serie A

AC Milan Team News

Milan made 10 changes to their team on Saturday, as only Mike Maignan was retained and Stefano Pioli’s second string were given an opportunity to impress.

Zlatan Ibrahimovic is both ineligible and injured so misses out on Tuesday, but Simon Kjaer, Sandro Tonali and Rafael Leao are among those set to feature again.

AC Milan's Last 5 Matches

  • 18/03/2023
    Udinese
    3
    AC Milan
    1
    Serie A
  • 02/04/2023
    Napoli
    0
    AC Milan
    4
    Serie A
  • 07/04/2023
    AC Milan
    0
    Empoli
    0
    Serie A
  • 12/04/2023
    AC Milan
    1
    Napoli
    0
    Champions League
  • 15/04/2023
    Bologna
    1
    AC Milan
    1
    Serie A

Napoli vs. AC Milan: Odds and Predictions

Main Prediction

1X2: 1

Best Odds

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