Monaco vs Bayer Leverkusen Match Analysis & Prediction
23/02/2023 8:45 pm
Seeking to secure a spot in the Europa League round of 16, Monaco take a one-goal lead over Bayer Leverkusen into the home leg of their knockout round playoffs tie on Thursday as Stade Louis II.
In the opening leg last Thursday, Monaco stormed back with two goals in the final 16 minutes plus stoppage time to win 3-2, so a victory or draw in this game will be enough to put them through to the next stage of this competition.
Les Monegasques have the upper hand heading to the Principality, and they will fancy their chances of progressing, as they are unbeaten in their last 13 UEFA Cup/Europa League matches played on home soil.
Their last defeat at home in the knockout stage of this competition came against a German opponent when they losy 1-0 to Borussia Monchengladbach during the 1996-97 UEFA Cup, although they still progressed from that tie, 4-3 on aggregate.
Philippe Clement’s side have never been eliminated from a two-legged knockout tie in a major European competition (excluding qualifiers) after winning the opening game away from home, progressing in each of their previous 10 attempts.
Leverkusen missed a golden opportunity to take the opening leg of this tie, reacting well in the second half with two goals in the opening 15 minutes, but they eventually left too many gaaps at the back through the latter stages.
History suggests that their odds of reversing this one-goal deficit are long, as Leverkusen have been eliminated from all 11 two-legged knockout ties (excluding qualifiers) when losing the opening fixture at home.
Leverkusen’s track record away from home against Ligue 1 opponents in this competition is not great, winning just once, although that solitary victory came in the recent past – beating Nice 3-2 in the 2020-21 group stage at Allianz Riviera.
Monaco vs. Bayer Leverkusen Head to head
These two teams have previously met on five occasions, where Monaco have claimed three victories while Leverkusen have won one, and they have drawn once, scoring six goals each in the process.
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16/09/2014Monaco1Bayer Leverkusen0Champions League
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26/11/2014Bayer Leverkusen0Monaco1Champions League
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27/09/2016Monaco1Bayer Leverkusen1Champions League
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07/12/2016Bayer Leverkusen3Monaco0Champions League
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16/02/2023Bayer Leverkusen2Monaco3Europa League
Monaco Team News
Vanderson and Guillermo Maripan are doubts for Monaco with knee issues, Ruben Aguilar and Gelson Martins have sore thighs, while Kevin Volland is out with an ankle injury.
Their leading goalscorer domestically Wissam Ben Yedder, has seven goals in his last four home matches across all competitions, bagging a brace in a 3-1 win over PSG.
Monaco's Last 5 Matches
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01/02/2023Monaco3Auxerre2Ligue 1
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05/02/2023Clermont0Monaco2Ligue 1
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11/02/2023Monaco3PSG1Ligue 1
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16/02/2023Bayer Leverkusen2Monaco3Europa League
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19/02/2023Brest1Monaco2Ligue 1
Bayer Leverkusen Team News
Charles Aranguiz might not be available for Leverkusen due a calf strain, Andrey Lunyov is dealing with a sore back, while their leading goalscorer domestically , Moussa Diaby, has a groin injury.
Patrik Schick and Nadiem Amiri each scored for Leverkusen domestically this past weekend, but it was a penalty miss from Edmond Tapsoba which ended up being their downfall.
Bayer Leverkusen's Last 5 Matches
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29/01/2023Bayer Leverkusen0Borussia Dortmund2Bundesliga
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03/02/2023Augsburg1Bayer Leverkusen0Bundesliga
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11/02/2023Hoffenheim1Bayer Leverkusen3Bundesliga
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16/02/2023Bayer Leverkusen2Monaco3Europa League
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19/02/2023Bayer Leverkusen2Mainz3Bundesliga
Monaco vs. Bayer Leverkusen: Odds and Predictions
Main Prediction
1X2: 1
Best Odds
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