MK Dons vs Crawley Town Match Analysis & Prediction

MK Dons

11/05/2024 9:45 pm

Crawley Town

Looking to produce one of the greatest comebacks in League Two playoff history, Milton Keynes Dons will host Crawley Town at Stadium mk for the second leg of their semi-final tie on Saturday night.

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The Dons are three goals behind following a disastrous first leg on the road earlier in the week, meaning that the Red Devils are heavy favourites to progress to the Wembley final.

Not for the first time during the 2023-24 campaign, the big occasion seemed too much to handle for MK Dons on Tuesday night, when they lost 3-0 at the home of Crawley in the first leg, leaving the Dons’ chances of playoff glory on the brink of extinction.

Having conceded 11 goals in the final three matches of the regular season, it was unsurprising that MK Dons showcased plenty of defensive deficiencies at Broadfield Stadium, where Liam Kelly, Jay Williams and Ronan Darcy all breached the net of visiting goalkeeper Michael Kelly.

Attempting to find a source of cautious optimism for the home supporters ahead of Saturday night, MK Dons are yet to lose back-to-back matches in League Two since manager Mike Williamson took charge of the club back in October, with the 40-year-old winning 20 of his 36 games.

MK Dons’ record at home is also a statistic pointing towards a possible second-leg comeback this weekend, with the Dons winning 14 and collecting 47 points from 23 matches at the Stadium mk in League Two this season – only promoted duo Wrexham (54) and Stockport County (50) managed to earn more from home games.

Meanwhile, taking part in their first-ever playoff match on Tuesday night, Crawley rose to the occasion admirably and are now just 90 minutes away from securing a tie with either Crewe Alexandra or Doncaster Rovers at Wembley for a spot in League One.

Although not an ideal result, Crawley could afford a repeat of their most recent trip to Stadium mk back in December, when goals from Joe Tomlinson and Alex Gilbey secured a 2-0 victory for MK Dons, but the visitors will be looking to extend their advantage even further in the opening stages of the second leg.

A third straight clean sheet for Crawley goalkeeper Corey Addai would guarantee a spot at Wembley for his side later this month, with the 26-year-old impressing massively during the first leg, as his touch map resembled that of a right-back rather than someone in goal.

MK Dons vs. Crawley Town Head to head

In the previous 11 meetings between these two teams, MK Dons have claimed five victories while Crawley have won four, and they have drawn in two. Crawley have scored 11 goals and conceded 14 in the process.

  • 03/11/2018
    Crawley Town
    0
    Milton Keynes Dons
    4
    League Two
  • 02/03/2019
    Milton Keynes Dons
    1
    Crawley Town
    0
    League Two
  • 15/08/2023
    Crawley Town
    2
    Milton Keynes Dons
    1
    League Two
  • 29/12/2023
    Milton Keynes Dons
    2
    Crawley Town
    0
    League Two
  • 07/05/2024
    Crawley Town
    3
    Milton Keynes Dons
    0
    League Two

MK Dons Team News

Despite a poor showing in the first leg, MK Dons are unlikely to make wholesale changes to their side, meaning that Lewis Bate and Jack Payne should start in the engine room once again.

There could be a change on the right side of defence, with Kyran Lofthouse potentially coming into the side at the expense of Cameron Norman.

MK Dons's Last 5 Matches

  • 06/04/2024
    Forest Green Rovers
    0
    Milton Keynes Dons
    2
    League Two
  • 13/04/2024
    Milton Keynes Dons
    1
    Mansfield Town
    4
    League Two
  • 20/04/2024
    Harrogate Town
    3
    Milton Keynes Dons
    5
    League Two
  • 27/04/2024
    Milton Keynes Dons
    4
    Sutton United
    4
    League Two
  • 07/05/2024
    Crawley Town
    3
    Milton Keynes Dons
    0
    League Two

Crawley Town Team News

After being replaced on the 60-minute mark during the first leg, Harry Forster could drop out of the Crawley side to make room for Kellan Gordon.

Regardless of firing a blank in front of goal on Tuesday, leading marksman Orsi will retain his spot as the focal point of the attack, with Klaidi Lolos and Adam Campbell playing slightly further back.

Crawley Town's Last 5 Matches

  • 13/04/2024
    Crawley Town
    2
    Colchester United
    3
    League Two
  • 16/04/2024
    Crawley Town
    1
    Barrow
    1
    League Two
  • 20/04/2024
    Sutton United
    2
    Crawley Town
    2
    League Two
  • 27/04/2024
    Crawley Town
    2
    Grimsby Town
    0
    League Two
  • 07/05/2024
    Crawley Town
    3
    Milton Keynes Dons
    0
    League Two

MK Dons vs. Crawley Town: Odds and Predictions

Main Prediction

1X2: 1

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