Mexico vs Honduras Match Analysis & Prediction
22/11/2023 5:30 am
Honduras are on the verge of pulling off what may be the biggest upset in the history of the Concacaf Nations League knockout stage when they travel to Estadio Azteca for the second leg of their quarter-final tie with Mexico on Wednesday.
In the opening leg on Saturday, Honduras shocked the reigning Gold Cup champions with a 2-0 victory, putting them a game away from securing a spot at the Copa America next year.
Following their surprise defeat at the weekend, Mexico are on the brink of missing the semi-finals of a Concacaf tournement for the first time since the 2005 Gold Cup, having progressed beyond the last eight in 11 consecutive quarter-final matchs at either that competition or the Nations League.
Before Saturday’s game, El Tri had gone unbeaten in 26 successive competitive matches against Central American sides, with their previous defeat coming against Honduras in 2017 (3-2).
Since capturing a record ninth Gold Cup last summer, Jaime Lozano’s side have only won one of their previous five matches across all competitions (2-0 over Ghana).
Coming into this competition with just one win in six competitiove matches, the last thing many would have expected is to see Honduras in a solid position to make the semi-finals.
The 2-0 victory in the first leg of this tie extended their Nations League home winning run to four successive matches dating back to the 2022-23 tournament, having outscored their opponents 12-1 over that stretch.
Since Reinaldo Rueda returned, the Honduran backline has been virtually impenetrable, with his side conceding just once in his six competitive matches in charge whle posting five clean sheets and also earning their first-ever shutout victory over Mexico.
Mexico vs. Honduras Head to head
In the 40 previous meetings bettween these two teams, Mexico have claimed 23 victories while Honduras have won eight, and they have drawn in nine. Honduras have scored 30 goals and conceded 70 in the process.
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25/07/2021Mexico3Honduras0Concacaf Gold Cup
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11/10/2021Mexico3Honduras0Concacaf World Cup Qualifiers
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28/03/2022Honduras0Mexico1Concacaf World Cup Qualifiers
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26/06/2023Mexico4Honduras0Concacaf Gold Cup
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18/11/2023Honduras2Mexico0Concacaf Nations League
Mexico Team News
Mexican goalkeeper Guillermo Ochoa could be a doubt for this game after being injured early in the opening half on Saturday with Luis Malagon replacing him.
Lozano added one new face to his starting XI for that game who did not begin their friendly against Germany, as Orbelin Pineda took the place of Uriel Antuna.
Mexico's Last 5 Matches
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10/09/2023Mexico2Australia2Friendlies
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13/09/2023Mexico3Uzbekistan3Friendlies
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15/10/2023Mexico2Ghana0Friendlies
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18/10/2023Mexico2Germany2Friendlies
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18/11/2023Honduras2Mexico0Concacaf Nations League
Honduras Team News
Romell Quioto was a late omission from the Honduran squad ahead of their opening match against Mexico, as was Kervin Arriaga, who sustained an injury in training.
Anthony Lozano scored the winner on Saturday, as he and Bryan Rochez netted for a second successive game, while Edrick Menjivar made two stops to record his fourth successive clean sheet.
Honduras's Last 5 Matches
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09/09/2023Jamaica1Honduras0Concacaf Nations League
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13/09/2023Honduras4Grenada0Concacaf Nations League
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13/10/2023Cuba0Honduras0Concacaf Nations League
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16/10/2023Honduras4Cuba0Concacaf Nations League
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18/11/2023Honduras2Mexico0Concacaf Nations League
Mexico vs. Honduras: Odds and Predictions
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