Man City vs Watford Match Analysis & Prediction

Man City

24/09/2024 9:45 pm

Watford

A match that will trigger many a painful memories for the visiting crowd, Manchester City and Watford meet in Tuesday night’s EFL Cup third-round tie at the Etihad Stadium.

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A competition that used to be a foregone conclusion during the earlier years of Pep Guardiola’s Man City reign, the Premier League champions are yet to add another EFL Cup title to their tally since a remarkable fourth in a row – and their eighth overall – in the COVID-affected 2020-21 campaign.

Man City have swapped EFL Cup medals for shinier Champions League and Club World Cup accolades over the past couple of years, although they have evidently lost their knockout nous in this competition, only getting as far as the quarter-finals since the start of the 2021-22 campaign.

Guardiola’s bid to regain EFL Cup supremacy last year memorably ended at this exact stage to Newcastle United, but not since 1987 have they suffered back-to-back third-round eliminations, and the high from the weekend’s absorbing events may not have worn off a little over 48 hours later.

For over 45 minutes of Sunday’s second half with Arsenal, the Gunners’ 10-man low block appeared impenetrable, only for substitute John Stones to score Man City’s latest-ever Premier League goal on record in a 2-2 draw, one which keeps the Citizens at the top while simultaniously ending their 13-game winning run in the top flight.

Erling Haaland’s record-breaking 100th Man City goal preceeded Stones’ beldam-inducing equaliser – as well as Riccardo Calafiori and Gabriel Magalhaes’ efforts in between – but the Scandinavian sensation will surely have to wait for number 101 as the hosts work with just one full day rest.

Now under the wing of a man who briefly made his mark on the red side of Manchester, Watford travel to the Etihad having slightly lost their way under Tom Cleverly, who oversaw a magnificent start before September brought a month of sorrow.

Watford won each of their first five competitive matches under the former Man United midfielder, including a 5-0 thrashing of MK Dons and a 2-0 victory over Playmouth Argyle in the earlier EFL Cup rounds to reach the third round for the first time since the 2021-22 season.

However, that win over Plymouth on August 27 represents Watford’s most recent win in any setting, as they have only taken one point from three Championship matches this month, losing to Sheffield United and Norwich City either side of a home draw with Coventry City.

Saturday’s defeat to Norwich was particularly chastening for Cleverly, whose side were beaten 4-1 by the Canaries to leave them outside of the top six in eighth place, although still just one point outside of the playoffs at this early stage.

Man City vs. Watford Head to head

In the previous 25 meetings between these two teams, Man City have claimed 18 victories while Watford have won four, and they have drawn in three. Watford have scored 19 goals and conceded 69 in the process.

  • 18/05/2019
    Manchester City
    6
    Watford
    0
    FA Cup
  • 21/09/2019
    Manchester City
    8
    Watford
    0
    Premier League
  • 21/07/2020
    Watford
    0
    Manchester City
    4
    Premier League
  • 04/12/2021
    Watford
    1
    Manchester City
    3
    Premier League
  • 23/04/2022
    Manchester City
    5
    Watford
    1
    Premier League

Man City Team News

In what may go down as the most forgettable appearance of his career, Rodri went down twice on Sunday – after a clash with Kai Havertz and then an apparent serious knee injury.

A full 11 changes cannot be ruled out by Guardiola, who could also plunder the club’s U21 ranks to help fill his selection for Tuesday’s tie, where the highly-rated Nico O’Reilly could play a prominent role.

Man City's Last 5 Matches

  • 24/08/2024
    Manchester City
    4
    Ipswich Town
    1
    Premier League
  • 31/08/2024
    West Ham United
    1
    Manchester City
    3
    Premier League
  • 14/09/2024
    Manchester City
    2
    Brentford
    1
    Premier League
  • 18/09/2024
    Manchester City
    0
    Inter Milan
    0
    Champions League
  • 22/09/2024
    Manchester City
    2
    Arsenal
    2
    Premier League

Watford Team News

Watford goalkeeper Daniel Bachmann and centre-back Francisco Sierralta were both taken off within just a few minutes of each other in the first quarter of the game against Norwich.

Kevin Keben (knee) is out of contention for the Hornets, while striker Daniel Jebbison is cup-tied, having played for Bournemouth in the second round before his loan mover to Vicarage Road.

Watford's Last 5 Matches

  • 24/08/2024
    Watford
    2
    Derby County
    1
    Championship
  • 27/08/2024
    Watford
    2
    Plymouth Argyle
    0
    League Cup
  • 01/09/2024
    Sheffield United
    1
    Watford
    0
    Championship
  • 14/09/2024
    Watford
    1
    Coventry City
    1
    Championship
  • 21/09/2024
    Norwich City
    4
    Watford
    1
    Championship

Man City vs. Watford: Odds and Predictions

Main Prediction

1X2: 1

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