Italy vs Ukraine Match Analysis & Prediction

Italy

12/09/2023 9:45 pm

Ukraine

After being held to a draw by North Macedonia in his first game in charge, Italy manager Luciano Spalletti will be looking to secure his first victory of his tenure when his side face Ukraine in Milan on Tuesday.

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The visitors head into the Euro 2024 qualifying tie in second place in Group C, while Italy are three points further back in third position, having played a game less.

Facing North Macedonia for the first time since losing 1-0 in last year’s World Cup qualifying playoff, Italy appeared on course to get revenge when their captain Ciro Immobile headed home the opening goal in the 47th minute, but a late Enis Bardhi free-kick ensured the Azzurri left Skopje with just a point on the board.

While Italy’s third-placed finish in the recent edition of the UEFA Nations League has made sure of a playoff spot, they will be desperate to avoid that backup option, and their hopes of qualifying automatically will be boosted if they win on Tuesday to overtake Ukraine into second place.

Although Italy lost to England in their previous home game, that result represented their first home defeat in European Championship qualifying since September 1999, highlighting the success the Azzurri tend to enjoy in front of their own fans.

Since losing 2-0 to England in their opening game of Euro 2024 qualifying, Ukraine have embarked on a positive run of results to collect seven points from three matches and move into second place.

After securing successive victories over North Macedonia and Malta in June, Ukraine returned to action on Saturday with an impressive display against England in Poland, where the designated hosts were playing due to the ongoing war with Russia.

Arsenal’s Oleksandr Zinchenko gave his country the lead in the 26th minute when he guided the ball home from Yukhym Konoplya’s cut-back before Kyle Walker equalised in the closing moments of the first half.

With neither side able to find the winner in the second half, Sergiy Rebrov’s side celebrated a crucial point which leaves them in a promising position in Group C, as they bit to reach a fourth successive European Championships.

Italy vs. Ukraine Head to head

In the eight previous meetings between these two teams, Italy have claimed six victories while they have drawn in two. Ukraine have scored three goals and conceded 15 in the process.

  • 30/06/2006
    Italy
    3
    Ukraine
    0
    FIFA World Cup
  • 07/10/2006
    Italy
    2
    Ukraine
    0
    Euros Qualifiers
  • 12/09/2007
    Ukraine
    1
    Italy
    2
    Euros Qualifiers
  • 29/03/2011
    Ukraine
    0
    Italy
    2
    Friendlies
  • 10/10/2018
    Italy
    1
    Ukraine
    1
    Friendlies

Italy Team News

Federico Chiesa and Lorenzo Pellegrini pulled out of the Italy squad prior to Saturday’s draw with North Macedonia, and Spalletti has now been dealt two further injury blows.

Roma defender Gianluca Mancini and Napoli attacker Matteo Politano have both left the camp due to thigh and calf problems respectively.

Italy's Last 5 Matches

  • 23/03/2023
    Italy
    1
    England
    2
    Euros Qualifiers
  • 26/03/2023
    Malta
    0
    Italy
    2
    Euros Qualifiers
  • 15/06/2023
    Spain
    2
    Italy
    1
    UEFA Nations League
  • 18/06/2023
    Netherlands
    2
    Italy
    3
    UEFA Nations League
  • 09/09/2023
    North Macedonia
    1
    Italy
    1
    Euros Qualifiers

Ukraine Team News

Ukraine’s Nikolai Matvienko is a doubt for Tuesday’s contest after being forced off at half time against England due to an injury issue.

Inter Miami’s Sergiy Kryvstov replaced Matvienko on Saturday, and he could be handed a starting opportunity if the Shakhtar Donetsk defender is unable to feature in Milan.

Ukraine's Last 5 Matches

  • 26/03/2023
    England
    2
    Ukraine
    0
    Euros Qualifiers
  • 12/06/2023
    Germany
    3
    Ukraine
    3
    Friendlies
  • 16/06/2023
    North Macedonia
    2
    Ukraine
    3
    Euros Qualifiers
  • 19/06/2023
    Ukraine
    1
    Malta
    0
    Euros Qualifiers
  • 09/09/2023
    Ukraine
    1
    England
    1
    Euros Qualifiers

Italy vs. Ukraine: Odds and Predictions

Main Prediction

1X2: 1

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