Greece vs Gibraltar Match Analysis and Prediction

Greece vs Gibraltar Match Analysis & Prediction

Greece

10/09/2023 9:45 pm

Gibraltar

by Vincent

2 weeks ago 0 17

DISCLAIMER: All odds are quoted at time the prediction went live. Check the sports book for updated odds

Seeking to recover from back-to-back defeats in Euro 2024 qualifying Group B, Greece host whipping boys Gibraltar at OPAP Arena in Athens on Sunday night.

Goals Over 3.5: Yes

Best Odds: 1.61

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Handicap Greece (-3.5): Yes

Best Odds: 1.86

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BTTS: No

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The hosts suffered a 3-0 defeat to the Netherlands last time out, while their visitors were most recently in friendly action against Malta, losing 1-0.

Gus Poyet’s side had got off to the perfect start with successive victories over Gibraltar and the Republic of Ireland, but having now come up short against France and the Netherlands without scoring once, Greece have been demoted to third spot in the standings.

However, on account of their promotion to the second tier of the Nations League in 2022-23, Greece will qualify for the playoffs at the very worst, and only goal difference is separating them from the Netherlands in second place – however, the Dutch do possess a game in hand.

In addition, Greece enter Sunday’s game having gone unbeaten in their last four European Championship qualifiers on their own turf – winning each of their last three – but Poyet’s side are also without a home clean sheet at this stage of proceedings since 2011, offering Gibraltar a tiny glimmer of hope.

With five teams gunning for qualification in Group B, Gibraltar pushed their competitive woes to one side on Wednesday as they travelled east to face Malta, but all they had to show for their long journey was another defeat.

Four defeats of 3-0 scoreline to France, the Netherlands, the Republic of Ireland and Greece leaves Julio Cesar Ribas’ side rock-bottom of the Group B standings with a -12 goal difference, and they are one of only three teams still without a point or a goal in qualifying.

Gibraltar have only ever scored twice away from home in Euros qualifying – breaching Scotland and Poland’s backline in 2015 – and 390 spectators were in attendance to witness Ribas’ side lose 3-0 to Greece at their temporary Estadio Algarve home in March.

Greece vs. Gibraltar Head to head

Greece have won each of the three previous encounters between these two teams, scoring 11 goals while conceding just one in the process.

06/09/2016

Gibraltar

1

Greece

4

UEFA World Cup Qualifiers
10/10/2017

Greece

4

Gibraltar

0

UEFA World Cup Qualifiers
24/03/2023

Gibraltar

0

Greece

3

Euros Qualifiers
10/09/2023

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A
10/09/2023

Greece

N/A

Gibraltar

N/A

Euros Qualifiers

Greece Team News

Due to his red card in June’s defeat to France, West Ham United new boy Dinos Mavropanos was suspended against the Netherlands, but the 25-year-old is now back from his ban and should earn an immediate recall to the backline.

Panagiotis Retsos will likely be sacrificed to accomodate the former Arsenal man, while Kostas Tsimikas picked up a booking for handball last time out and is one game away from a ban.

Greece's Last 5 Matches

24/03/2023

Gibraltar

0

Greece

3

Euros Qualifiers
27/03/2023

Greece

0

Lithuania

0

Friendlies
16/06/2023

Greece

2

Republic of Ireland

1

Euros Qualifiers
19/06/2023

France

1

Greece

0

Euros Qualifiers
07/09/2023

Netherlands

3

Greece

0

Euros Qualifiers

Gibraltar Team News

Left-back Bernardo Lopes was forced off with an unspecified injury in the 57th minute against Malta, opening the door for Ethan Jolley, Jayce Olivero or Joseph Chipolina to return to Ribas’ defensive-heavy formation.

The latter’s brother, 40-year-old Roy Chipolina, continues to don the captain’s armband for Gibraltar and is poised to make his 70th appearance for his country here.