Fluminense vs Cerro Porteno Match Analysis & Prediction

Fluminense

17/05/2024 1:00 am

Cerro Porteno

Fluminense can secure a spot in the last 16 of the Copa Libertadores and seal first place in Group A with a win over Cerro Porteno on Friday at Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho.

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The reigning champions claimed a 1-0 victory over Colo Colo last week, giving them eight points, three more than the Paraguayans, who are second following a 1-1 draw against Alianza Lima.

After a slow start in the group stage, Fluminense have picked up their game, winning two of their previous three matches following a 1-1 draw with Alianza Lima in their opener.

That has put Fernando Diniz’s side on the verge of making the knockout stage of this competition for the third time in the previous four edition of the Copa Libertadores, as they are unbeaten after four games.

Fluminense have been sharp defensively in the group stage so far, conceding just two goals after four matchday, tied for the fewest this season.

Their next two matches take place at the historic Maracana, where they are unbeaten in their last four group matches in this competition, while their previous home defeat in this stage of the tournament came in 2021 (2-1 against Junior).

Diniz’s side have lost just one of their last four matches across all competitions and have not suffered a defeat at home since the opening leg of their Cariocca Serie A semi-final tie agaist Flamengo (2-0).

Meanwhile, despite some inconsistent performance to this stage of the competition, Cerro Porteno have their fate in their hands, sitting a point above Colo Colo for an automatic spot in the round of 16.

On matchday four, Manolo Jimenez’s side went in front before the half-hour mark, then found themselves hanging back to try and hold on, and they ultimately crumbled, conceding an equaliser in the 80th minute.

Still, they managed to score away from home for the first time in the group stage this season, although they are winless in their last 10 away matches in the group stage of this competition.

The last time Cerro Porteno emerged from a Libertadores group match with all three points on the road was in April 2021, beating Colombian side America de Cali 2-0.

Cerro Porteno seem to have focused the majority of their attention on defending, which has come with some positives and negatives, as they are currently tied with Fluminense for the fewest goals conceded in the group stage, but they have also scored just two themselves – the joint second-fewest so far.

Fluminense vs. Cerro Porteno Head to head

In the previous five meetings between these two teams, Fluminense have claimed four victories while they have drawn once.

  • 12/11/2009
    Cerro Porteno
    0
    Fluminense
    1
    CONMEBOL Sudamericana
  • 19/11/2009
    Fluminense
    2
    Cerro Porteno
    1
    CONMEBOL Sudamericana
  • 14/07/2021
    Cerro Porteno
    0
    Fluminense
    2
    CONMEBOL Libertadores
  • 04/08/2021
    Fluminense
    1
    Cerro Porteno
    0
    CONMEBOL Libertadores
  • 26/04/2024
    Cerro Porteno
    0
    Fluminense
    0
    CONMEBOL Libertadores

Fluminense Team News

Marlon, Gabriel Pires, Andre and Renato Augusto are all expected to be out for Fluminense on Friday with knee issues, while Thiago Santos and Douglas Costa might also be unavailable due to thigh injuries.

Lele is still recovering from an ACL injury, while Samuel Xavier is unlikely to feature until late May due to a sore foot.

Fluminense's Last 5 Matches

  • 28/04/2024
    Corinthians
    3
    Fluminense
    0
    Serie A
  • 01/05/2024
    Sampaio Correa
    0
    Fluminense
    2
    Copa do Brasil
  • 04/05/2024
    Fluminense
    2
    Atletico Mineiro
    2
    Serie A
  • 10/05/2024
    Colo Colo
    0
    Fluminense
    1
    CONMEBOL Libertadores
  • 14/05/2024
    Sao Paulo
    2
    Fluminense
    1
    Serie A

Cerro Porteno Team News

Neither Bruno Valdez nor Lucas Quintana will be available for Cerro Porteno as they are on the road to recovery after each suffering cruciate ligament tears.

There was one new edition to their starting XI on matchday four, as Federico Carrizo took the place of Jorge Morel, with the latter replacing him in the second half.

Cerro Porteno's Last 5 Matches

  • 26/04/2024
    Cerro Porteno
    0
    Fluminense
    0
    CONMEBOL Libertadores
  • 29/04/2024
    Cerro Porteno
    4
    General Caballero JLM
    0
    Division Profesional
  • 04/05/2024
    Libertad
    1
    Cerro Porteno
    3
    Division Profesional
  • 09/05/2024
    Alianza Lima
    1
    Cerro Porteno
    1
    CONMEBOL Libertadores
  • 12/05/2024
    Cerro Porteno
    1
    Olimpia
    1
    Division Profesional

Fluminense vs. Cerro Porteno: Odds and Predictions

Main Prediction

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