Derby County vs Crewe Alexandra Match Analysis & Prediction

Derby County

14/11/2023 10:45 pm

Crewe Alexandra

Haing come from two goals down to keep their FA Cup dream alive, Derby County play host to Crewe Alexandra at Pride Park Stadium for Tuesday’s first-round replay.

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The Rams fought back to hold their League Two counterparts to a 2-2 draw earlier this month, and a home game with Bristol Rovers in the second round is on offer for the winners here.

Crewe Alexandra broke the deadlock in the opening match through Courtney Baker-Richardson 41 minutes into the tie before Elliott Nevitt doubled his side’s advantage.

On th brink of losing in the first round of the competition for the first time ever, Derby side cut the deficit in half as Nathaniel Mendez-Laing’s strike slipped through Harvey Davies’ grasp, before Conor Hourihane completed the comeback in the third minute of injury time.

However, Paul Warne’s side have been irrepressible since, scoring seven goals in back-to-back victories over Wolverhampton Wanderers U21 and Barnsley.

After beating the former in the EFL Trophy, the Rams put three unanswered goals past Barnsley in Saturday’s League One encounter as James Collins bagged a brace either side of Craig Forsyth’s goal, drawing the seventh-placed Derby level on points with the Tykes in the process.

That convincing win also marked a fourth victory on the bounce for Derby at the Pride Park fortress, where they are unbeaten in eight straight matches since August’s defeat to Oxford United, and they are on a five-game FA Cup home winning streak against teams from a lower division.

Crewe Alexandra are all too familiar with FA Cup first-round replay eliminations, having been knocked out in such circumstances during the 2013-14, 2014-15 and 2016-17 campiagns before also suffering a second-round exit to Blackburn Rovers after two matches in 2017-18.

Since then, Crewe have only fallen at the first hurdle in two of their last five FA Cup campaigns, but there was a discernible sense of dejection around the Mornflake Stadium during their opening encounter with Derby, having led by two goals until the 89th minute of that four-goal thriller.

On a pessimistic note, Lee Bell’s side have not won an FA Cup replay against a fellow EFL side since the 2000-01 campaign, knocking Cardiff City out of the competition that year.

Derby County vs. Crewe Alexandra Head to head

In the nine previous meetings between these two teams Derby have claimed two victories while Crewe have won four, and they have drawn in three. Crewe have scored 15 goals and conceded 13 in the process.

  • 11/09/2005
    Crewe Alexandra
    1
    Derby County
    1
    Championship
  • 14/01/2006
    Derby County
    5
    Crewe Alexandra
    1
    Championship
  • 10/08/2010
    Crewe Alexandra
    1
    Derby County
    -
    League Cup
  • 26/07/2011
    Crewe Alexandra
    2
    Derby County
    1
    Club Friendlies
  • 05/11/2023
    Crewe Alexandra
    2
    Derby County
    2
    FA Cup

Derby County Team News

No fewer than four Derby players will represent their countries during the international break, including Northern Irish duo Conor Washington and Darren Robinson – senior team and U21 respectively.

Sierra Leone’s Tyrese Fornah and Namibia’s Ryan Nyambe are also set to be unavailable for the hosts, who lost Mendez-Lang to injury in the 52nd minute of the weekend’s victory over Barnsley.

Derby County's Last 5 Matches

  • 28/10/2023
    Stevenage
    3
    Derby County
    1
    League One
  • 31/10/2023
    Derby County
    4
    Northampton Town
    0
    League One
  • 05/11/2023
    Crewe Alexandra
    2
    Derby County
    2
    FA Cup
  • 08/11/2023
    Derby County
    4
    Wolves U21
    1
    EFL Trophy
  • 11/11/2023
    Derby County
    3
    Barnsley
    0
    League One

Crewe Alexandra Team News

Three youth internationals will not be at Bell’s disposal this week, as Connor O’Riordan (Republic of Ireland U21), Matus Holicek (Slovakia U19) and Max Woodcock (Scotland U18) prepare to don their countries’ colours.

Jack Powell (knee), Zac Williams (ankle), Owen Lunt (back), Joel Tabiner (ankle) and Chris Long (thigh) are among Crewe’s injured troupe.

Crewe Alexandra's Last 5 Matches

  • 21/10/2023
    Crawley Town
    2
    Crewe Alexandra
    4
    League Two
  • 24/10/2023
    Crewe Alexandra
    0
    Stockport County
    2
    League Two
  • 28/10/2023
    Harrogate Town
    0
    Crewe Alexandra
    1
    League Two
  • 05/11/2023
    Crewe Alexandra
    2
    Derby County
    2
    FA Cup
  • 11/11/2023
    Crewe Alexandra
    1
    Notts County
    0
    League Two

Derby County vs. Crewe Alexandra: Odds and Predictions

Main Prediction

1X2: 1

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