Nacional vs Sao Paulo Match Analysis & Prediction

Nacional

16/08/2024 1:00 am

Sao Paulo

Club Nacional de Football host Sao Paulo in Friday’s Copa Libertadores round of 16 first-leg tie at Estadio Gran Parque Central.

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Nacional were far from convincing in the Copa Libertadores group stage but much has changes since they managed to progress from their section.

They secured three wins from six matches to progress, losing twice while playing out one draw, with eight goals scored and seven conceded underscoring their average form.

The turnaround since Martin Lasarte replaced Alvaro Recoba in mid-June has been evident, with Nacional unbeaten since the managerial change, securing five wins in seven excluding penalty shootouts.

Bolso did flourish on home soil in the competition’s group stage, securing two wins from three with only unbeaten group winners River Plate preventing them from claiming maximum points in a 2-2 draw.

Their opponents Sao Paulo may not be going into their last-16 tie with the same momentum, but the visitors’ four-game unbeaten run should count for much on Friday.

Even more noteworthy of Sao Paulo’s form is the ongoing sequence of games without conceding, with Luis Zubeldia’s side keeping four successive shutouts through their run.

Four matches without losing follow their three-game winless run without maximum points (two points) where they failed to find the back of the net in a home draw with Juventude and a 1-0 defeat to Fortaleza.

Having collected six away points to end group winners in their section, Sao Paulo will aim to extend their commendable away form against a side pulling up trees heading into the first knockout round.

Nacional vs. Sao Paulo Head to head

In the previous four meetings between these two teams, Sao Paulo have claimed three victories while they have drawn once.

  • 29/04/1992
    Nacional
    0
    Sao Paulo
    1
    CONMEBOL Libertadores
  • 07/05/1992
    Sao Paulo
    2
    Nacional
    0
    CONMEBOL Libertadores
  • 01/05/2008
    Nacional
    0
    Sao Paulo
    0
    CONMEBOL Libertadores
  • 08/05/2008
    Sao Paulo
    2
    Nacional
    0
    CONMEBOL Libertadores
  • 16/08/2024
    Nacional
    N/A
    Sao Paulo
    N/A
    CONMEBOL Libertadores

Nacional Team News

Nacional are expected to be without Christian Ebere, Renzo Sanchez and Gonzalo Carneiro for this match and potentially both legs due to their knee injuries.

Without Carneiro’s goals, the hosts will hope Alexis Castro makes the difference from mifield having scored two group-stage goals and three in his last four appearances under Lasarte.

Nacional's Last 5 Matches

  • 07/07/2024
    Nacional
    1
    Rampla Juniors
    1
    Primera Division
  • 13/07/2024
    Danubio
    0
    Nacional
    6
    Primera Division
  • 20/07/2024
    Nacional
    4
    Miramar Misiones
    0
    Primera Division
  • 28/07/2024
    Nacional
    1
    Bston River
    0
    Primera Division
  • 04/08/2024
    Nacional
    P 1
    Penarol
    1
    Primera Division

Sao Paulo Team News

Sao Paulo’s Igor Vinicius is doubtful for this match with a knock, while Giuliano Galoppo is touch-and-go with a foot bruise.

Jonathan Calleri and Luciano scored three goals each in the group stage, and the visitors will hope they carry that goalscoring form into the knockouts.

Sao Paulo's Last 5 Matches

  • 28/07/2024
    Fortaleza
    1
    Sao Paulo
    0
    Serie A
  • 31/07/2024
    Sao Paulo
    2
    Goias
    0
    Copa do Brasil
  • 04/08/2024
    Sao Paulo
    1
    Flamengo
    0
    Serie A
  • 09/08/2024
    Goias
    0
    Sao Paulo
    0
    Copa do Brasil
  • 11/08/2024
    Sao Paulo
    1
    Atletico Goianiense
    0
    Serie A

Nacional vs. Sao Paulo: Odds and Predictions

Main Prediction

Double Chance: Sao Paulo or X

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