Brighton vs Roma Match Analysis & Prediction

Brighton

14/03/2024 11:00 pm

Roma

Hoping to pull off a huge surprise – or at least salvage some pride – Brighton & Hove Albion host resurgent Roma in the second leg of their Europa League last-16 tie on Thursday.

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The Seagulls trail by four goals following last week’s capitulation in the Italian capital, which leaves them likely to exit in the last 16.

Trailing 2-0 by halftime, through goals from Roma’s star strikers Paulo Dybala and Romelu Lukaku, Brighton found their serene supremacy of the Europa League group stage sorely lacking at Stadio Olimpico last Thursday.

Gianluca Mancini added a third for the hosts, before Bryan Cristante’s diving header left the Seagulls facing a four-goal deficit, and if they are to extend their first campaign in UEFA competition then a minor miracle is required.

Already the first English club to lose so heavily in the knockout rounds, Brighton must make more history in order to salvage the situation – no team has overturned a four-goal deficit from the first leg of a Europa League tie to progress.

Having one foot in Friday’s quarter-final draw, Roma continued to build momentum under new management at the weekend, when a last-gasp equaliser again showed their spirit at Stadio Fraanchi.

Diego Llorente’s stoppage-time strike rescued a crucial point for Roma in their fight for European qualification, and following a 2-2 draw with Fiorentina, they have lost just once in 11 matches since Daniele De Rossi took charge, winning eight.

Only a 4-2 defeat at home to Serie A leaders Inter Milan has blotted his stellar record so far, but the Giallorossi’s former midfield maestro will surely have to mend Roma’s Achilles’ heel if they are to go all the way in Europe.

Europa Conference League winners in 2022, and Europa League finalists last year, Roma may have lost just one of their last 31 home matches in UEFA competition, but despite reaching successive finals under Jose Mourinho, they are winless in seven European knockout games on the road.

Brighton vs. Roma Head to head

These two teams have only previously met just once in the first leg of this tie, with Roma winning 4-0 at home.

  • 07/03/2024
    Roma
    4
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    0
    Europa League
  • 14/03/2024
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  • 14/03/2024
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  • 14/03/2024
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  • 14/03/2024
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    N/A
    Roma
    N/A
    Europa League

Brighton Team News

Roberto De Zerbi can call upon Scottish midfielder Billy Gilnour – who served the final match of his Premier League suspension at the weekend – but several players will still be missing on Thursday.

Solly March, Kaoru Mitoma and Jack Hinshelwood are all sidelined, alongside James Milner and Joao Pedro (both thigh), although Igor and Julio Enciso should both be fit enough to make the bench.

Brighton's Last 5 Matches

  • 24/02/2024
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    1
    Everton
    1
    Premier League
  • 28/02/2024
    Wolverhampton Wanderers
    1
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    0
    FA Cup
  • 02/03/2024
    Fulham
    3
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    0
    Premier League
  • 07/03/2024
    Roma
    4
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    0
    Europa League
  • 10/03/2024
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    1
    Nottingham Forest
    0
    Premier League

Roma Team News

De Rossi could be tempted to rotate his Roma squad, as fringe players such as Tommaso Baldanzi, Nicola Zalewski and Edoardo Bove come into his thinking.

Paulo Dybala has overcome his latest injury scare, while Rick Karsdorp returns from a knee problem, but Rasmus Kristensen and long-term absentee Tammy Abraham are still unavailable.

Roma's Last 5 Matches

  • 22/02/2024
    Roma
    P 1
    Feyenoord
    1
    Europa League
  • 26/02/2024
    Roma
    3
    Torino
    2
    Serie A
  • 02/03/2024
    Monza
    1
    Roma
    4
    Serie A
  • 07/03/2024
    Roma
    4
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    0
    Europa League
  • 10/03/2024
    Fiorentina
    2
    Roma
    2
    Serie A

Brighton vs. Roma: Odds and Predictions

Main Prediction

1X2: 1

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