Athletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama Match Analysis & Prediction

Athletico Paranaense

12/09/2024 3:30 am

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama will be looking to secure a spot in the semi-finals of the Copa do Brasil for the first time in over a decade when the face Athletico Paranaense at Ligga Arena on Thursday.

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In the opening leg of this tie in August, Vasco da Gama scored twice in the final 10 minutes to secure a 2-1 comeback victory.

Martin Varini’s side looked to be headed for a comfortable victory in the first leg before some late defensive issues completely changed the complexion of this tie.

The good news is that they have a 100% record at home in this competition, without a goal conceded in either of those two games, although they have lost their last two contest played at home across all competitions.

Counting this season, Athletico Paranaense have failed to win their opening leg quarter-final tie at this tournament on three successive occasions, crashing out in the last eight in 2022 and 2023 against Flamengo.

It has been nearly three years since Athletico Paranaense won a quarter-final match in this competition, beating Santos by a 1-0 score twice in 2021.

Meanwhile, down but not out has been the story for this resilient Vasco da Gama side, who came to life in the nick of time in the opening leg in this tie.

Rafael Paiva’s side have avoided defeat in five successive matches across all competitions when conceding the opening goal.

The club from Rio enter this contest on an eight-game unbeaten run across all competitions, winning their last three games by a single goal.

Not since the 2011 campaign have this side been seen make it beyond the tournament’s quarter-finals, when they went on to lft the trophy for the first and only time to date.

Athletico Paranaense vs. Vasco da Gama Head to head

In the previous 42 meetings between these two teams, Athletico have claimed 15 victories while Vasco have won 16, and they have drawn in 11. Vasco have scored 58 goals and conceded 67 in the process.

  • 24/07/2023
    Vasco da Gama
    0
    Athletico Paranaense
    2
    Serie A
  • 26/11/2023
    Athletico Paranaense
    0
    Vasco da Gama
    0
    Serie A
  • 05/05/2024
    Athletico Paranaense
    1
    Vasco da Gama
    0
    Serie A
  • 27/08/2024
    Vasco da Gama
    2
    Athletico Paranaense
    1
    Serie A
  • 30/08/2024
    Vasco da Gama
    2
    Athletico Paranaense
    1
    Copa do Brasil

Athletico Paranaense Team News

Fernandinho is the only injury concern for Athletico Paranaense ahead of this decisive game, with the former Manchester City captain expected to miss a few more weeks with a muscle injury.

Christian gave them the lead in that match just beyond the half-hour mark, scoring his second at the Copa do Brasil this year.

Athletico Paranaense's Last 5 Matches

  • 19/08/2024
    Athletico Paranaense
    1
    Juventude
    2
    Serie A
  • 23/08/2024
    Belgrano
    0
    Athletico Paranaense
    2
    CONMEBOL Sudamericana
  • 27/08/2024
    Vasco da Gama
    2
    Athletico Paranaense
    1
    Serie A
  • 30/08/2024
    Vasco da Gama
    2
    Athletico Paranaense
    1
    Copa do Brasil
  • 02/09/2024
    Athletico Paranaense
    0
    Palmeiras
    2
    Serie A

Vasco da Gama Team News

Paulinho and Guilherme Estrella are dealing with knee injuries, with neither expected to return to the Vasco da Gama squad by Thursday.

Jose Luis Rodriguez drew his side level with a strike in the 80th minute of the first leg, with Hugo Moura scoring the winner in the third minute of stoppage time.

Vasco da Gama's Last 5 Matches

  • 11/08/2024
    Vasco da Gama
    2
    Fluminense
    0
    Serie A
  • 18/08/2024
    Criciuma
    2
    Vasco da Gama
    2
    Serie A
  • 27/08/2024
    Vasco da Gama
    2
    Athletico Paranaense
    1
    Serie A
  • 30/08/2024
    Vasco da Gama
    2
    Athletico Paranaense
    1
    Copa do Brasil
  • 02/09/2024
    Vitoria
    0
    Vasco da Gama
    1
    Serie A

Athletico Paranaense vs. Vasco da Gama: Odds and Predictions

Main Prediction

1X2: 1

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