Melgar vs independiente del Valle Match Analysis and Prediction

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Trailing 3-0 to Independiente del Valle, Melgar have a tall task ahead of them as the head into the scond leg of their semi-final at the Copa Sudamericana on Thursday.

The hosts are unbeaten at Estadio Monumental Virgen de Chapi in this year’s competition, while the reigning champions of Ecuador have not lost on the road at the 2022 Sudamericana.

The three goals Melgar shipped to the Ecuadorians was as many tallies as they had given up in their previous six Sudamericana matches, while they have only allowed two goals at home in five games at the 2022 competition.

The loss in the first leg ended an impressive unbeaten streak of seven successive matches across all competitions for this team, who are currently tied with Sporting Cristal in the aggregate table with 59 points so far in the Peruvian Primera Division.

In five previous meetings with Ecuadorian opponents at the Copa Sudamericana, Melgar only boast one victory, though they have lost or conceded a goal at home to any of those teams, beating SD Aucas 2-0 in the group stage last year.

A discouraging exit in the group stage of the Copa Libertadores has been alleviated by some solid performances by Independiente del Valle in the knockout stage of this competition.

They survived a physical round of 16 affair against Lanus, progressing 2-1 on aggregate,and this team have only grown since then, eliminating Deportivo Tachira in the last eight, while putting together perhaps their best all-around performance of the tournament last Wednesday.

Since replacing Renato Paiva as manager at the end of May, head coach Martin Anselmi has this team in fine form, dropping just three of their last 15 matches across all competitions under his leadership. They look to qualify for the final for the second time in their previous three appearances at Sudamericana.

Melgar vs Independiente del Valle head to head

The two teams have previosly met on just three occasions in the Libertadores and in the first leg of the Sudamericana, where Independiente del Valle have won in all three meetings, scoring six goals and keeping clean sheets.

Melgar 0-1 Independiente Valle 01/03/16

Independiente Valle 2-0 Melgar 16/03/16

Independiente Valle 3-0 Melgar 01/09/22

Melgar latest home form

Melgar have recently been on a good run of form at home, have been unbeaten in their five most recent matches. They managed to defeat Universdad San Martin 2-1 in their last home game in the league. In their last five matches, they have scored seven goals and conceded two.

Melgar 1-0 Sport Huancayo 24/07/22

Melgar 1-0 UTC Cajamarca 29/07/22

Melgar 0-0 Internacional 05/08/22

Melgar 3-1 Academia Cantolao 16/08/22

Melgar 2-1 Universidad San Martin 27/08/22

Melgar latest away form

Melgar lost 3-0 to Independiente del Valle in their last away game in the Copa Sudamericana. However, they have recently been on a good run of form on the road, having been unbeaten in their previous seven matches. In their last five matches, they have scored three goals and conceded three.

Alianza Atletico 0-0 Melgar 03/07/22

Carlos Mannucci 0-1 Melgar 10/07/22

Internacional 0-0(P) Melgar 12/08/22

Carlos Stein 0-2 Melgar 21/08/22

Independiente Valle 3-0 Melgar 01/09/22

Independiente del Valle latest home form

Independiente Valle have recently been on a good run of form at home, having lost just on of their nine most recent matches. They defeated Melgar 3-0 in their last home game in the Copa Sudamericana. In their last five matches, they have scored 13 goals and conceded just four.

Independiente Valle 4-1 Deportivo Tachira 10/08/22

Independiente Valle 2-0 Gualaceo 13/08/22

Independiente Valle 3-1 El Nacional 20/08/22

Independiente Valle 1-2 Universidad Catolica 29/08/22

Independiente Valle 3-0 Melgar 01/09/22

Independiente del Valle latest away form

Independiente Valle lost 2-1 to Deportivo Cuenca in their last away game in the league. However, they have recently been on a good run of form on the road, having won each of their previous five matches. In their last five matches, they have scored nine goals and conceded five.

Deportivo Tachira 0-1 Independiente Valle 03/08/22

Orense 1-2 Independiente Valle 06/08/22

Guayaquil City 0-1 Independiente Valle 23/08/22

Mushuc Runa 2-4 Independiente Valle 26/08/22

Deportivo Cuenca 2-1 Independiente Valle 03/09/22

Melgar news

Melgar goalkeeper Carlos Caceda conceded last Wednesday for the first time in this competition since his side defeated Deportivo Cali 2-1 in the second leg of their round of 16 tie.

Bernardo Cuesta leads this competition with eight goals so far, while Jean Pierre Archimbaud and Luis Iberico each have two.

Independiente del Valle news

Richard Schunke scored his second of the competition last week for Independiente Valle, with the other tallies coming through Lautaro Diaz and Lorenzo Faravelli.

Marco Angulo and Junior Sornoza each assisted in their opening leg victory, while Fernando Gaibor had their only tally in their 2-1 domestic defeat to Cuenca.

Prediction and Odds

Experience seemed to be a significant advantage for the Ecuadorians in the opening leg, which should again play a major role in terms of defending their lead.

While Melgar have been potent at times on home soil, we are backing the visitors to progress as they have rarely played poor defensively of late.

Odds: 1 2.30 X 2.05 2 2.20