Liverpool vs Derby County Match Analysis and Prediction

1 year ago 605

Liverpool will begin the defence of their EFL Cup crown on Wednesday when they play host to Derby County at Anfield for the third round.

Jurgen Klopp’s side defeated Chelsea on penalties in the final of the 2021-22 edition, while the Rams got better of Mansfield Town and West Bromwich Albion in the current competition.

Liverpool were the beneficiaries of Manchester City’s early exit in the EFL Cup last year, as the Citizens missed out on a fifth-straight trophy.

It has been a whirlwind few days for the Reds, who defeated Tottenham Hotspur 2-1 to end a two-game losing streak in the Premier League before learning that they would be facing Real Madrid in the last 16 of the Champions League, as they seek revenge for their final disappointment in May.

Klopp’s side are aiming to get their hands on the EFL Cup for a record-extending 10th time this season, but they were eliminated in the third round as recently as the 2017-18 and 2018-19 editions, while not since losing to Northampton Town in 2010-11 have they been knocked out by lower-tier opposition.

A four-game unbeaten run looks a positive statistic for Derby County ahead of a trip to Anfield, but a record of two wins from their last nine and a draw with non-league Torquay United in the FA Cup is perhaps less so.

Despite that FA Cup disappointment, the Rams have experience when it comes to eliminating high-level opposition from the EFL Cup, knocking out West Brom in the second round this year through a 1-0 scoreline after beating Mansfield in round one.

Paul Warne’s side are yet to win an EFL Cup for their trophy cabinet, but they have already fared better this year than they did in the previous three seasons, all of which saw Derby eliminated in the second round.

Liverpool vs Derby County head to head

These two teams have previously met on 103 occasions, where Liverpool have claimed 53 victories while Derby have won 23, and they have drawn in 27. Derby have scored 125 goals and conceded 200 in the process. In their last meeting, Liverpool claimed a 3-0 away victory in the EFL Cup.

Derby County 0-1 Liverpool 01/12/01

Liverpool 2-0 Derby County 20/04/02

Liverpool 6-0 Derby County 01/09/07

Derby County 1-2 Liverpool 26/12/07

Derby County 0-3 Liverpool 20/09/16

Liverpool latest home form

Liverpool have recently been on a relatively good run of form at home, having lost just one of their 10 most recent matches. They managed to defeat Napoli 2-0 in their last home game in the Champions League. In their last five matches, they have scored seven goals and conceded two.

Liverpool 2-0 Rangers 04/10/22

Liverpool 1-0 Manchester City 16/10/22

Liverpool 1-0 West Ham United 19/10/22

Liverpool 1-2 Leeds United 29/10/22

Liverpool 2-0 Napoli 01/11/22

Liverpool latest away form

Liverpool have recently been on a relatively good run of form on the road, having lost just one of their four most recent matches. They defeated Tottenham Hotspur 2-1 in their last away game in the league. In their last five matches, they have scored 14 goals and conceded six.

Arsenal 3-2 Liverpool 09/10/22

Rangers 1-7 Liverpool 12/10/22

Nottingham Forest 1-0 Liverpool 22/10/22

Ajax 0-3 Liverpool 26/10/22

Tottenham Hotspur 1-2 Liverpool 06/11/22

Derby County latest home form

Derby County have recently failed to keep a good run of form at home, having won just two of their six most recent matches. They defeated Bristol Rovers 4-2 in their last home game in the league. In their last five matches, they have scored eight goals and conceded eight.

Derby County 2-1 Wycombe Wanderers 17/09/22

Derby County 1-2 Port Vale 08/10/22

Derby County 1-3 Manchester City U21 18/10/22

Derby County 0-0 Exeter City 25/10/22

Derby County 4-2 Bristol Rovers 29/10/22

Derby County latest away form

Derby County have recently failed to keep a good run of form on the road, having won just one of their five most recent matches. They drew 2-2 Turquay United in their last away game in the FA Cup. In their last five matches, they have scored seven goals and conceded five.

Manfield Town (P)1-1 Derby County 04/10/22

Accrington Stanley 0-3 Derby County 08/10/22

Ipswich Town 1-0 Derby County 21/10/22

Morecambe 1-1 Derby County 01/11/22

Torquay United 2-2 Derby County 06/11/22

Liverpool news

Long-term absentees Diogo Jota, Luis Diaz, Arthur and Joel Matip are still out of contention for Liverpool, while Naby Keita and James Milner are could return on Saturday.

Caoimhin Kelleher has been confirmed to be replacing Alisson Becker after starring en route to the crown for the Reds last term.

Derby County news

Centre-back Eiran Cashin will take his place on the sideline as he serves a suspension following his sending off in the FA Cup.

Jason Knight, Curtis Davies and James Chester are injured for Derby County, while Tom Barkhuizen’s hamstring issue will also need assessing after he missed out against Torquay.

Prediction and Odds

Derby County will not be expecting miracles on the Anfield turf on Wednesday, and confidence will not exactly be high after the weekend FA Cup disappointment.

Liverpool will most certainly use this opportunity to rotate their resources, but we can only envisage the Reds advancing through to the fourth round.

Odds: 1 1.45 X 2.15 2 3.23