Guinea vs Malawi Match Analysis and Prediction

3 years ago 514

Malawi will be looking to pick up two straight wins and extend their lead at the top of Group D, when they visit the General Lansana Conte Stadium to take on Guinea in the 2023 AFCON qualifiers on Thursday.

Guinea, who are currently on a run of five matches without a win across all competitions, will set out to end that poor run and get their campaign up and running.

Syli National were denied a dream start to their Africa Cup of Nations qualification campaign when they fell to a narrow 1-0 defeat away to Egypt on Sunday.

After holding the Pharaohs goalless for most of the game, Mostafa Mohamed scored in the 89th minute to put the hosts ahead at the Cairo International Stadium.

Guinea head into Thursday’s contest winless in each of their last five matches, claiming two draws and losing three, including a 1-0 defeat against Gambia in the round of 16 of the 2022 AFCON back in January.

Kaba Diawara’s side, who are eyeing a third consecutive appearance at the continental showpiece, now face an opposing side who they are unbeaten against in three consecutive meetings between the teams since a 2-1 loss in 2009.

Meanwhile, Malawi got their hunt for spot at the 2023 Africa Cup of Nations finals on a positive note at the defeated Ethiopia 2-1 on home soil last Sunday.

Gabadinho Mhango scored a brace in the first half to give the hosts the lead at the Bingu National Stadium, before Abubeker Nasir pulled one back for Ethiopia in the 68th minute.

Malawi are now unbeaten in three of their last four matches, claiming two wins and one draw while scoring five goals and conceding three in that time.

However, Mario Marinica’s side are currently on an eight-game winless run across all competitions at home.

Guinea vs Malawi head to head

The two teams have previously met on seven occasions across all competitions, where Guinea have claimed four victories while Malawi have won once, and they have drawn in two. Guinea have scored 10 goals and conceded six. In their last meeting, Guinea claimed a 1-0 home win in the AFCON.

Guinea 2-1 Malawi 21/06/09

Malawi 2-1 Guinea 05/09/09

Guinea 0-0 Malawi 25/03/16

Malawi 1-2 Guinea 29/03/16

Guinea 1-0 Malawi 10/01/22

Guinea latest home form

Guinea have recently failed to keep a good run of form at home, having won just one of their six most recent matches. They lost 1-0 to Gambia in their last home game in the Africa Cup of Nations. In their last five matches, they have scored two goals and conceded eight.

Guinea 104 Morocco 12/10/21

Guinea 0-0 Guinea-Bissau 12/11/21

Guinea 0-3 Rwanda 03/01/22

Guinea 1-0 Malawi 10/01/22

Guinea 0-1 Gambia 24/01/22

Guinea latest away form

Guinea have recently failed to keep a good run of form on the road, having won just one of their eight most recent matches. They lost 1-0 to Egypt in their last away game in the AFCON Qualifiers. In their last five matches, they have scored three goals and conceded three.

Rwanda 0-2 Guinea 06/01/22

Senegal 0-0 Guinea 14/01/22

Zimbabwe 2-1 Guinea 18/01/22

South Africa 0-0 Guinea 25/03/22

Egypt 1-0 Guinea 05/06/22

Malawi latest home form

Malawi have recently been on a relatively good run of form at home, having been unbeaten in their three most recent matches. Their last home defeat came 4-0 against Cameroon on November 13 in the World Cup Qualifiers. In their last five matches, they have scored four goals and conceded nine.

Malawi 0-3 Cote d’Ivoire 08/10/21

Malawi 0-4 Cameroon 13/11/21

Malawi 2-1 Zimbabwe 14/01/22

Malawi 0-0 Senegal 18/01/22

Malawi 2-1 Ethiopia 05/06/22

Malawi latest away form

Malawi have recently been on a poor run of form on the road, having won just one of their nine most recent matches. They lost 2-1 to Morocco in their last away game in the Africa Cup of Nations. In their last five matches, they have scored four goals and conceded seven.

Cote d’Ivoire 2-1 Malawi 11/10/21

Mozambique 1-0 Malawi 16/11/21

Comoros 1-2 Malawi 31/12/21

Guinea 1-0 Malawi 10/01/22

Morocco 2-1 Malawi 25/01/22

Guinea news

Forward Serhou Guirassy was handed his international debut against Egypt last time out and he should retain his place in the starting XI.

Aguibou Camara, who boasts three goals in 12 senior caps, should provide extra threat up top alongside Thierno Barry, while Naby Keita should start in midfield once again.

Malawi news

Gabadinho Mhango put on a show in the opener against Ethiopia on Sunday and the forward should spearhead the attack once again.

He should be supported in the final third by Stan Davie, while Abate could stick with his three-man midfield of Chimwemwe Idana, Gerald Phiri and John Christopher Banda.

Prediction and Odds

Malawi will be looking to build on their opening-day victory, but they have struggled for results away from home, where they have lost each of their last two matches.

We predict the hosts will make amends for their defeat against Egypt last time out and come away with a win on Thursday.

Odds: 1 1.89 X 2.00 2 2.26