Brest vs Lille Match Analysis and Prediction

Reigning Ligue 1 champions Lille will travel to Stade Francis-Le Ble to take on Brest in Ligue 1 action on Saturday.

The hosts are stuck in the bottom half of the table and are without a win in four matches, while the visitors have been regaining their way back towards the European spots in recent weeks.

Brest are currently sitting 13th in Ligue 1 table, which leaves them on course for their best finish since returning to the top flight in 2019.

After surviving relegation through playoff last season, Brest supporters may have feared the worst when manager Michel Der Zakarian’s reign started without wins in their first 11 games.

However, a 2-1 victory over Nice sparked them into life, beginning a run of six straight victories and building up to an impressive away win at Marseille.

Michel Der will hope they will not take 12 attempts to rediscover winning form again this time, but his side will have to defeat Lille if they are to secure three points this weekend.

Meanwhile, Lille failed to have a good start to their 2021-22 Ligue 1 campaign, with just a single victory from their opening six games.

However, Lille have taken shape over their course of the first half of the season, and they have now gone unbeaten in nine games in the league, stretching back to a 2-1 loss at the Parc des Princes in October.

Les Dogues’ recent results have seen them climb to eighth in the table, and they are now just three points adrift of the Champions League spots.

There is a possibility they will not even need to finish in the top four to qualify, having struggled to finish top of their group in this year’s competition, but there are now positive signs in the Lille camp this season.

Brest vs Lille head to head

The two teams have previously met on 10 occasions in Ligue 1, where Lille are leading with 6 victories while Brest have won 2, and they have drawn in two. Lille have scored 15 goals and conceded 10. In their last five encounters, Lille have won two, Brest one and they have drawn twice.

Brest 1-2 Lille 31/03/13

Lille 1-0 Brest 06/12/19

Brest 3-2 Lille 08/11/20

Lille 0-0 Brest 14/02/21

Lille 1-1 Brest 23/10/21

Brest latest home form

Despite losing their last home game 3-0 to Nice, Brest have recently been on a good run of form at home. They have lost just two of their last seven matches. In their last five matches at home, they have won three and lost two, scoring 8 goals and conceding 7.

Brest 4-0 Lens 21/11/21

Brest 1-0 Saint-Etienne 01/12/21

Brest 0-4 Montpellier 11/12/21

Brest 3-0 Bordeaux 02/01/22

Brest 0-3 Nice 09/01/22

Brest latest away form

Brest lost their last away match 2-0 to PSG on January 15. However, they have recently been on a good run of form on the road, having gone unbeaten in six matches before that loss. In their last five away matches, they have won three, drawn one and lost one.

Bordeaux 1-2 Brest 28/11/21

Marseille 1-2 Brest 04/12/21

Dinan Lenon 0-0(P) Brest 19/12/21

Troyes 1-1 Brest 22/12/21

PSG 2-0 Brest 15/01/22

Lille latest home form

Lille have been on a good run of form at home so far. They recently picked up a 3-1 victory over Auxerre in the Coupe de France on December 18. They defeated Lorient 3-1 in their last home game. In their last five, they have won three and drawn two.

Lille 1-1 Nantes 27/11/21

Lille 2-1 Troyes 04/12/21

Lille 0-0 Lyon 12/12/21

Lille 3-1 Auxerre 18/12/21

Lille 3-1 Lorient 19/01/22

Lille latest away form

Lille recently lost to Lens through penalty shootouts after a 2-2 draw in the Coupe de France on January 4. However, they have recently been on a good run of form away from home, having gone unbeaten in five matches before that loss. They drew 1-1 with Marseille in their last.

Rennes 1-2 Lille 01/12/21

Wolfsburg 1-3 Lille 08/12/21

Bordeaux 2-3 Lille 22/12/21

Lens (P)2-2 Lille 04/01/22

Marseille 1-1 Lille 16/01/22

Brest news

Sebastien Cibois and Romain Del Castilo will remain out with achiles and groin injuries respectively, while Denys Bain remains a doubt after having missed the last game with COVID-19.

Steve Moune was left on the bench against PSG last weekend, but should be back alongside Jeremy Le Douaron in a front two.

Lille news

Hatem Ben Arfa joined Lille this week from Bordeaux and could come straight into the matchday squad if not the starting XI. 

Benjamin Andre will be back from suspension and will most likely come in straight into the midfield four, while Yusuf Yazici will be absent after joining CSKA Moscow on loan.

Prediction and Odds

Brest will enter the contest desperate of returning to winning way in the league, and with the home advantage, they could pose a tough test for Lille. However, Lille have recently enjoyed a good run of form in the league, and we see them having the capability of winning the game.

Odds: 2.65 3.05 2.30

Probable outcomes

Brest 0-1 Lille

Brest 0-2 Lille

Brest 1-2 Lille

Brest 2-3 Lille 

Brest 2-2 Lille

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