Atletico Mineiro vs Independiente del Valle Match Analysis and Prediction

3 years ago 483

Atletico Maineiro can secure their spot in the last 16 with a win at home to Independiente del Valle on matchday five of the Copa Libertadores on Friday at Mineirao.

The 2021 domestic winners from Brazil are top of Group D, unbeaten after four matches, while the Ecuadorian champions can potentially move into second place with a win.

It has been 50 years since Mineiro claimed a second Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A title, and they would rather not wait that long to claim another international trophy, with their only victory in this competition coming in 2013.

They have been sharp defensively in Brazil this year under the charges of Antonio Mohamed, conceding the third-fewest goals in the league (seven), though they have allowed a goal in three of their four matches so far in this year’s competition.

After requiring a late goal on matchday two to draw America Mineiro 1-1, they have played with a lot more purpose and intent from the opening whistle, scoring three first half goals in their previous two group matches.

With the majority of the 2021 squad still within, we have seen some solid consistency from them throughout the year, and that chemistry has allowed them to succeed in big games.

Meanwhile, a pair of quick reactions in previous group matches have given Independiente a chance to make it to the last 16 of this competition for the second time in the past three seasons.

Trailing Deportes Tolima by two goals on matchday two, they fought back in the second half with two goals to claim a 2-2 draw before coming back from a goal down to draw Mineiro 1-1 in their following match.

Independiente have been a lot better defensively away from home in this tournament, conceding just one goal after allowing nine a year ago.

Atletico Mineiro vs Independiente del Valle head to head

The two teams have previously met on three occasions in the Copa Libertadores, where they have claimed one victory each while they have drawn once. They have scored four goals each in the process. In their last meeting, they palyed out a 1-1 draw on April 27 this year.

Atletico Mineiro 1-0 Independiente Valle 25/02/16

Independiente Valle 3-2 Atletico Mineiro 07/04/16

Independiente Valle 1-1 Atletico Mineiro 27/04/22

Atletico Mineiro latest home form

Mineiro have recently been on a relatively good run of form at home, having lost just one of their five most recent matches. They managed to defeat Atletico Goianiense 2-0 in their last home game in the league. In their last five matches, they have scored nine goals and conceded five.

Atletico Mineiro 1-1 America Mineiro 14/04/22

Atletico Mineiro 3-0 Brasiliense 21/04/22

Atletico Mineiro 2-2 Coritiba 24/04/22

Atletico Mineiro 1-2 America Mineiro 07/05/22

Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Atletico Goianiense 15/05/22

Atletico Mineiro latest away form

Mineiro have recently been on a relatively good run of form on the road, having been unbeaten in their five most recent matches. They drew 1-1 with RB Bragantino in their last away game in the league. In their last five matches, they have scored seven goals and conceded five.

Athletico Paranaense 0-1 Atletico Mineiro 18/04/22

Independiente Valle 1-1 Atletico Mineiro 27/04/22

Goias 2-2 Atletico Mineiro 01/05/22

America Mineiro 1-2 Atletico Mineiro 04/05/22

RB Bragantino 1-1 Atletico Mineiro 12/05/22

Independiente del Valle latest home form

Independiente have recently been on a good run of form at home, having been unbeaten in their seven most recent matches. They managed to defeat LDU Quito 1-0 in their last home game in the league. In their last five matches, they have scored six goals and conceded just three.

Independiente Valle 0-0 Guayaquil City 10/04/22

Independiente Valle 2-2 Deportes Tolima 14/04/22

Independiente Valle 2-0 Deportivo Cuenca 20/04/22

Independiente Valle 1-1 Atletico Mineiro 27/04/22

Independiente Valle 1-0 LDU Quito 02/05/22

Independiente del Valle latest away form

Independiente have recently been on a relatively good run of form on the road, having lost just one of their four most recent matches. They defeated Tecnico Universitario 3-2 in their last away game in the league. In their last five matches, they have scored six goals and conceded six.

Universidad Catolica 3-1 Independiente Valle 17/04/22

Delfin 0-1 Independiente Valle 24/04/22

Deportes Tolima 1-0 Independiente Valle 05/05/22

Macara 0-1 Independiente Valle 10/05/22

Tecnico Universitario 2-3 Independiente Valle 15/05/22

Atletico Mineiro news

Nacho Fernandez leads Mineiro in goals with two at this competition, while Guilherme Arana has a goal and two assists and their Golden Boot winner domestically in 2021.

While Hulk has a goal and an assist, Everson has three clean sheets domestically, though he has kept only one in the Libertadores.

Independiente del Valle news

Junior Sornoza scored the for Independiente winner with six minutes to play, with the other goals coming from Luis Mateo Ortiz Lara and Billy Arce.

Richard Schunke, Jonathan Bauman, Pedro Perlaza and Lorenzo Faravelli each have one assist at this competition, while Sornoza and Arce are the only one with goals.

Prediction and Odds

Independiente Valle have been in their share of close games and are solid when it comes to limiting their opponents’ opportunities.

However, we do not believe they will be able to match the quaility Mineiro possess, which should be enough to send the Brazilians into the next round of this competition.

Odds: 1 1.88 X 2.05 2 2.26