Atalanta vs Napoli Match Analysis and Prediction

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Scudetto contenders Napoli will make a trip to the Gewiss Stadium on Sunday to face Atalanta as they look to leapfrog league leaders AC Milan on goal difference.

While the hosts are in a battle for a top-four finish, the visitors arrive in Bergamo to resume their pursuit of a long-awaited title, sitting only three points behind league leaders Milan.

After previously sliding to sixth in the league standings with a goalless draw against Genoa, Atalanta were indebted to a most unlikely source for seciring three important points in their last fixture against Bologna.

With a squad depleted by injury and lacking a cutting edge up front, Gian Piero Gasperini’s side were saved by Moustapha Cisse who arived from the bench to snatch an 82nd-minute winner at Dall’Ara.

While that win supported progress in the Europa League, following an impressive aggregate victory over Bundesliga outfit Bayer Leverkusen, La Dea have been suffering their most prolonged spell of decline for several years.

Meanwhile, following a 3-2 home defeat in December’s reverse fixture, Napoli travel to Lombardy this week having not drawn in their last six league visits to the Gewiss Stadium.

The clubs have shared three wins each, with the last two won by the hosts, but Gli Azzurri will start as most favourites as they lead Atalanta by 12 points in the table.

Proving their reliance on top scorer Victor Osimhen, Napoli came from behind to defeat Udinese just before the international break, with the Nigerian striker sending in second-half brace to move onto 15 goals for the season.

A double for the prolific striker in Napoli’s last away game took the Campanian club onto 34 points from 15 away matches, and only in the record-shattering 2017-18 campaign have they ever before picked up as many at this stage of the season.

Atalanta vs Napoli head to head

The two teams have previously met on 49 occassions across all competitions, where Atalanta have taken 18 victories while Napoli have won 17, and they have drawn in 14. Napoli have scored 62 goals and conceded 60. In their last five meetings, Napoli have won once, Atalanta three with one draw.

Napoli 4-1 Atalanta 17/10/20

Napoli 0-0 Atalanta 03/02/21

Atalanta 3-1 Napoli 10/02/21

Atalanta 4-2 Napoli 21/02/21

Napoli 2-3 Atalanta 04/12/21

Atalanta latest home form

Atalanta have recently been on a good run of form at home, having been unbeaten in their five most recent matches. Their last home defeat came on February 10 when they lost 3-2 to Fiorentina in the Coppa Italia. In their last five matches, they have scored 10 goals and conceded four.

Atalanta 1-1 Juventus 13/02/22

Atalanta 2-1 Olympiakos 17/02/22

Atalanta 4-0 Sampdoria 28/02/22

Atalanta 3-2 Bayer Leverkusen 10/03/22

Atalanta 0-0 Genoa 13/03/22

Atalanta latest away form

Atalanta have recently been on a relatively good run of form on the road, having three of their five most recent matches. They managed to defeat Bayer Leverkusen 1-0 in the Europa League on March 17. In their last five away macthes, they have scored five goals and conceded two.

Fiorentina 1-0 Atalanta 20/02/22

Olympiakos 0-3 Atalanta 24/02/22

Roma 1-0 Atalanta 05/03/22

Bayer Leverkusen 0-1 Atalanta 17/03/22

Bologna 0-1 Atalanta 20/03/22

Napoli latest home form

Napoli have recently failed to keep a good run of form at home, having won only two of their five most recent matches. They suffered a 4-2 defeat against Barcelona in the Europa League on February 24. In their last five matches, they have scored nine goals and conceded eight.

Napoli 4-1 Salernitana 23/01/22

Napoli 1-1 Inter Milan 12/02/22

Napoli 2-4 Barcelona 24/02/22

Napoli 0-1 AC Milan 06/03/22

Napoli 2-1 Udinese 19/03/22

Napoli latest away form

Napoli have recently been on a good run of form on the road, having been unbeaten in their nine most recent matches. They recently managed to pick up a 1-1 draw against Barcelona in the Europa League. In their last five matches, they have scored eight goals and conceded four.

Venezia 0-2 Napoli 06/02/22

Barcelona 1-1 Napoli 17/02/22

Cagliari 1-1 Napoli 21/02/22

Lazio 1-2 Napoli 27/02/22

Verona 1-2 Napoli 13/03/22

Atalanta news

Atalanta still have Duvan Zapata and captain Rafael Toloi out of action due to injury, but both Ruslan Malinovskyi and Aleksei Miranchuk have recovered after being sidelined against Bologna.

Gian Piero Gasperini is still Zapata’s replacement, while Jeremie Boga may again feature as a ‘false nine’ due to Luis Muriel’s lack of form.

Napoli news

Defensive regular Amir Rrahmani should fulfill a one-match ban, while Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Andrea Petagna and back-up goalkeeper Alex Meret remain on the treatment table.

Dries Mertens is set to start up front in the absence of Osimhen and Petagna, while Fabian Ruiz is likely to feature in midfield on Sunday.

Prediction and Odds

Atalanta enter the contest looking for the three points which will keep their hopes for a top-four finish alive.

While Napoli can boast one of the best away record in Europe this season, they are depleted by injuries and suspensions within the squad, so we see the match ending level.

Odds: 1 2.35 X 2.05 2 2.20